Breslin Center · at Michigan St
Closing line
MSU -24.5✓ SJSU covered by 5.5
MSU -24.5✓ SJSU covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Under by 4.5
 SJSU | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJSU 65–84 MSU · ✓ MSU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 23 | 37 | 60 |
| MSU | 46 | 33 | 79 |
1st half: SJSU 23, MSU 46 (MSU by 23). The model had MSU by 11.5 and a total of 69.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| SJSU | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-56 36% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 26 7 off | Rebounds | 45 13 off |
| 10 | Assists | 25 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Washington G | 35 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Colby Garland G | 35 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 10-16 | 2-2 |
| Yaphet Moundi F | 31 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Ben Roseborough G | 28 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 27 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 28 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Marcus Overstreet F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Douglas Langford F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Goodall F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, Japhet Moupadele, Christian Wise, Pasha Goodarzi, Adrian Myers, JaVaughn Hannah
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 31 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Coen Carr F | 31 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 30 | 17 | 18 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Carson Cooper C | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kur Teng G | 19 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Cam Ward F | 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Scott F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Sanders G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Walton, Brennan Walton, Kaleb Glenn
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSU -24.5
ModelMSU -19.2
Model edgeSJSU +5.3
W SJSU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model148.5
Model edgeOver 5.0
L Under
Projected score
SJSU 64.7 · MSU 83.9
SJSU 60 · MSU 79
Win probability
MSU 95%
1st half
Spread
MSU -11.5
MSU -23.0
Total
69.6
69 points
Projected score
SJSU 29.1 · MSU 40.5
SJSU 23 · MSU 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -22.5
2 → MSU
CloseMSU -24.5
2 pts toward MSU
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SJSU +3500 · MSU -50000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -22.5 · closed MSU -24.5 · moved 2 toward MSUmodel MSU -19
model MSU -19
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSUlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
| MSUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San José St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@
UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
over 2under 0avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
COLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vs
ARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
over 1under 1avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San José St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Barbara74–85
- L@ Utah75–84
5 days since their last game.
Michigan St
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arkansas69–66
- Wvs Colgate80–69
5 days since their last game.