Tudor Fieldhouse · at Rice
Closing line
RICE -4.5✓ TAR covered by 20.5
RICE -4.5✓ TAR covered by 20.5Closing total146.5Over by 17.5
 TAR | This season | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TAR 72–76 RICE · ✗ RICE (64%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAR | 37 | 53 | 90 |
| RICE | 38 | 36 | 74 |
1st half: TAR 37, RICE 38 (RICE by 1). The model had RICE by 2.3 and a total of 69.2 (actual 75).
Team stats
| TAR | RICE | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-58 59% | Field goals | 26-63 41% |
| 3-9 33% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 11-24 46% |
| 40 8 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 22 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaia Isaac G | 35 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 34 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 10-16 | 0-0 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 29 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 23 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Mizell G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dior Johnson G | 35 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 9-17 | 0-0 |
| Cam McDowell G | 27 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-11 | 2-5 |
| Andy Sigiscar F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kade Douglas G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Jinks, Damion Porter Jr., Freddy Hicks, Daniel Dormu, Cameron Thomas, AJ Dent, Matyas Vrabel, Roy Marom, Malek Archie, Joseph Martinez
| RICE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Smith G | 34 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| Trae Broadnax G | 32 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Nick Anderson G | 28 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-9 |
| Jimmy Oladokun Jr. F | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Akuchie F | 20 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Carroll G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Dallas Hobbs G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Eternity Eguagie F | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Stephen Giwa C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bodey Howell G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cole Andrews-Heitz, Trey Patterson, Evan Cochran, Aaron Powell, Presley Patterson, Jordan Williams, George Perkins
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketRICE -4.5
ModelRICE -4.0
Model edgeTAR +0.5
W TAR covered
Total
Market146.5
Model147.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
TAR 71.9 · RICE 75.9
TAR 90 · RICE 74
Win probability
RICE 64%
1st half
Spread
RICE -2.3
RICE -1.0
Total
69.2
75 points
Projected score
TAR 33.5 · RICE 35.8
TAR 37 · RICE 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenRICE -4.5
no move
CloseRICE -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TAR +175 · RICE -210
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened RICE -4.5 · unchangedmodel RICE -4
model RICE -4
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TARlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% | 4-1 80% |
| RICElast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tarleton St
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +15.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@
LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vs
AMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vs
MRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@
BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
over 4under 1avg +15.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Rice
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
ORE
OREL 63-67
+11.5
11
vs
SFA
SFAL 69-81
−14.5
14
vs
ETAM
ETAMW 71-64
−3.5
17
@
TENN
TENNL 66-91
+1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ORE
OREL 63-67
−15.5
11
vsSFA
SFAL 69-81
+0.5
14
vsETAM
ETAMW 71-64
−11.5
17
@TENN
TENNL 66-91
+13.5
over 2under 2avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tarleton St
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Baylor81–94
- Wvs Merrimack76–62
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC85–77
- L@ LSU60–96
- L@ SMU76–96
6 days since their last game.
Rice
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee66–91
- Wvs East Texas A&M71–64
- Lvs SF Austin69–81
- L@ Oregon63–67
3 days since their last game.