McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona
Closing line
ARIZ -32.5✓ DEN covered by 2.5
ARIZ -32.5✓ DEN covered by 2.5Closing total154.5Over by 21.5
 DEN | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 5-0 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 5-0 | O/U | 1-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 62–94 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| ARIZ | 56 | 47 | 103 |
1st half: DEN 28, ARIZ 56 (ARIZ by 28). The model had ARIZ by 19.0 and a total of 73.0 (actual 84).
Team stats
| DEN | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 41-71 58% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 16-24 67% | Free throws | 9-20 45% |
| 29 11 off | Rebounds | 50 20 off |
| 13 | Assists | 27 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 30 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-4 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 28 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-11 | 1-6 |
| Julius Rollins G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Oldham F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zane Nelson G | 20 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-3 |
| Didier Maleng F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Josh Lee G | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Corleone Dandridge G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Loch Cunningham F | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Carney G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Trajan Thompson, Ian Motta, Kaden Holdbrook
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries G | 27 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 7-13 | 3-6 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 25 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 9-12 | 2-3 |
| Koa Peat F | 21 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 18 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 17 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 25 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 23 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 20 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Evan Nelson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Addison Arnold G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Francois G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sven Djopmo G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Cook G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Bryce James
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -32.5
ModelARIZ -31.7
Model edgeDEN +0.8
W DEN covered
Total
Market154.5
Model155.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
DEN 62.1 · ARIZ 93.8
DEN 73 · ARIZ 103
Win probability
ARIZ 100%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -19.0
ARIZ -28.0
Total
73.0
84 points
Projected score
DEN 27 · ARIZ 46
DEN 28 · ARIZ 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -31.5
1 → ARIZ
CloseARIZ -32.5
1 pt toward ARIZ
Total
Open158.5
▼ 4
Close154.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -31.5 · closed ARIZ -32.5 · moved 1 toward ARIZmodel ARIZ -31.5
model ARIZ -31.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 4 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DENlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% | 5-0 100% |
| ARIZlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@
WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@
MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vs
UTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@
CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
over 5under 0avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −11.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vs
UTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vs
NAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vs
UCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@
CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
over 1under 4avg −11.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Colorado St83–81
- Lvs UTSA79–84
- W@ Montana St75–73
- L@ Washington70–84
- L@ Seattle U73–84
3 days since their last game.
Arizona
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UConn71–67
- Wvs UCLA69–65
- Wvs N Arizona84–49
- Wvs Utah Tech93–67
- Wvs Florida93–87
5 days since their last game.