Harrah's Cherokee Center · Neutral site
Closing line
UNCA -1.5✓ UNCA covered by 10.5
Closing total137.5Under by 15.5
| This season | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 1-4 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 1-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 71–71 UNCA · ✗ UNCA (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| UNCA | 33 | 34 | 67 |
1st half: APP 26, UNCA 33 (UNCA by 7). The model had APP by 0.2 and a total of 66.6 (actual 59).
Team stats
| APP | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 21-50 42% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 3-18 17% |
| 7-15 47% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 25 7 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 1 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eren Banks G | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 28 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Luke Wilson C | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Andrin Njock F | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Tot G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-9 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Chad Moodie F | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jacari Brim, Cameron O'Kelley, Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Dalyn Brandon, Brewer Carruth, Luke Ledford
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Patrick G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 36 | 25 | 8 | 2 | 8-16 | 0-2 |
| Justin Wright G | 35 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Kam Taylor G | 30 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Myles Mayfield F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Hermes F | 26 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Julian Clarke PG | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hugo Maton, Rasheed Baldwin, Brayden Rivers, Connor Dubsky, Jakel Powell, Mitchell Taylor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCA -1.5
ModelAPP -0.1
Model edgeAPP +1.6
L UNCA covered
Total
Market137.5
Model142.1
Model edgeOver 4.6
L Under
Projected score
APP 71.1 · UNCA 71
APP 55 · UNCA 67
Win probability
UNCA 50%
1st half
Spread
APP -0.2
UNCA -7.0
Total
66.6
59 points
Projected score
APP 33.4 · UNCA 33.2
APP 26 · UNCA 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCA -2.5
1 → APP
CloseUNCA -1.5
1 pt toward APP
Total
Open136.5
▲ 1
Close137.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCA -2.5 · closed UNCA -1.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel APP -0
model APP -0
Opened 136.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 upmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4 43% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% | |
| 1-4 20% | 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
APP 0–1 UNCAUNCA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · APP 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023-24 | UNCA 76 vs APP 63 | APP -10.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CMU
L 66-82
−14.5
9
vs
NCCU
W 76-54
+11.5
11
@
OSU
L 53-75
+1.5
16
@
DART
W 85-77
+6.5
21
vs
CLT
W 65-63
+0.5
24
vs
ELON
L 53-88
−40.5
26
@
MER
L 67-75
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
CMU
L 66-82
+5.5
9
vs
NCCU
W 76-54
−6.5
11
@
OSU
L 53-75
−19.5
16
@
DART
W 85-77
+21.5
21
vs
CLT
W 65-63
−4.5
24
vs
ELON
L 53-88
−2.5
26
@
MER
L 67-75
−0.5
over 2under 5avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
1-4
20% covers · avg −5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −9.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
WICH
L 58-75
−10.5
8
@
GASO
L 90-93
+2.5
11
vs
LIP
W 69-64
−1.5
19
@
WCU
L 73-80
−8.5
25
vs
TNST
L 73-75
−7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 4avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
WICH
L 58-75
−24.5
8
@
GASO
L 90-93
+20.5
11
vs
LIP
W 69-64
−25.5
19
@
WCU
L 73-80
+0.5
25
vs
TNST
L 73-75
−16.5
over 2under 3avg −9.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercer67–75
- Lvs Elon53–88
- Wvs Charlotte65–63
- W@ Dartmouth85–77
- L@ Ohio State53–75
4 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee St73–75
- L@ W Carolina73–80
- Wvs Lipscomb69–64
- L@ GA Southern90–93
- L@ Wichita St58–75
5 days since their last game.