Addition Financial Arena · at UCF
Closing line
UCF -9.5✓ UCF covered by 15.5
UCF -9.5✓ UCF covered by 15.5Closing total148.5Under by 1.5
 TOW | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 7-1 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 70–81 UCF · ✓ UCF (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 27 | 34 | 61 |
| UCF | 47 | 39 | 86 |
1st half: TOW 27, UCF 47 (UCF by 20). The model had UCF by 6.3 and a total of 70.6 (actual 74).
Team stats
| TOW | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 31-56 55% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 6-13 46% | Free throws | 19-21 90% |
| 27 12 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Williamson G | 30 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Tejada F | 28 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Coleman F | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mor Seck C | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 16 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Conway G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaiden Cole G | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Skerry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jon Barton, Abdou Samb, Brandon Holmes
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 30 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 8-11 | 1-1 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 29 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Riley Kugel G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Jordan Burks F | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| John Bol C | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeremy Foumena C | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Chris Johnson G | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kris Parker G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zachary Johnson F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCF -9.5
ModelUCF -10.7
Model edgeUCF +1.2
W UCF covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
TOW 70.1 · UCF 80.8
TOW 61 · UCF 86
Win probability
UCF 83%
1st half
Spread
UCF -6.3
UCF -20.0
Total
70.6
74 points
Projected score
TOW 32.2 · UCF 38.5
TOW 27 · UCF 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -9.5
no move
CloseUCF -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TOW +340 · UCF -440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -9.5 · unchangedmodel UCF -10.5
model UCF -10.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOWlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
| UCFlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs L-MD | W 67-56 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 8 | @ HOU | L 48-65 | +26.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 14 | vs NORF | W 51-41 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 18 | @ JMU | L 75-81 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs URI | W 62-55 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 25 | vs LIB | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UCSD | L 73-87 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs COR | W 93-80 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
+9.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+9.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
−12.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
−23.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+3.5
26
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-87
+21.5
3
vsCOR
CORW 93-80
+18.5
over 4under 4avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
over 4under 4avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cornell93–80
- Lvs UC San Diego73–87
- Wvs Liberty72–69
- Wvs Rhode Island62–55
- L@ James Madison75–81
4 days since their last game.
UCF
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI82–57
- Wvs Quinnipiac102–91
- Wvs Pitt77–67
- Wvs Oakland87–83
- W@ Texas A&M86–74
A week or more of rest.