Case Gym · at Boston U
Closing line
BU -2.5✓ MRMK covered by 14.5
BU -2.5✓ MRMK covered by 14.5Closing total135.5Over by 34.5
 MRMK | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-1 |
| 0-3 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 67–73 BU · ✗ BU (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 48 | 43 | 91 |
| BU | 34 | 45 | 79 |
1st half: MRMK 48, BU 34 (MRMK by 14). The model had BU by 4.0 and a total of 65.5 (actual 82).
Team stats
| MRMK | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-54 54% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 19-30 63% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 14-16 88% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 25 8 off |
| 20 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Dorset G | 38 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-6 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 36 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 10-13 | 9-12 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 36 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Todd Brogna F | 29 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 22 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Aliou Cisse F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Malik Edmead G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, David Munro, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris, Jaylen Stinson
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 38 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 7-12 | 5-9 |
| Chance Gladden G | 35 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Sam Hughes F | 34 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 7-12 | 3-7 |
| Ben Roy G | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Ben Defty C | 30 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Azmar Abdullah G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Bhesania, Malcolm Chimezie, Donte Tisinger Jr., Peter Carr, Spencer Joyner, Kyrone Alexander, Ethan Okwuosa, Matai Baptiste, Otto Landrum
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBU -4.5
2 → MRMK
CloseBU -2.5
2 pts toward MRMK
Total
Open135.5
no move
Close135.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MRMK +130 · BU -150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BU -4.5 · closed BU -2.5 · moved 2 toward MRMKmodel BU -7
model BU -7
Opened 135.5 · unchangedmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BU -2.5 | BU -6.9 | BU +4.4 | L MRMK covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 139.9 | Over 4.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MRMK 66.5 · BU 73.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BU -4.0 | MRMK -14.0 |
| 1H total | 65.5 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | MRMK 30.8 · BU 34.8 | MRMK 48 · BU 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMKlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% |
| BUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 1–3 BUBU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MRMK 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024-25 | BU 61 @ MRMK 64 | MRMK -4.5 | BU W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | MRMK 63 @ BU 74 | BU +1.5 | BU W |
| Dec 2, 2022-23 | BU 68 @ MRMK 54 | MRMK +3.5 | BU W |
| Nov 28, 2021-22 | MRMK 60 @ BU 61 | BU -6 | MRMK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −8.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@
AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@
TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
over 1under 2avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +12.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@
NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vs
BRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
over 2under 1avg +12.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tarleton St62–76
- L@ Auburn57–95
- Lvs S Dakota St66–75
4 days since their last game.
Boston U
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown90–77
- L@ Northwestern52–76
- W@ Northeastern76–75
3 days since their last game.