Gersten Pavilion · at LMU
Closing line
UCSD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 8.5
UCSD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 8.5Closing total150.5Under by 26.5
| UCSD | This season | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | Record | 6-3 |
| 7-2 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 73–71 LMU · ✓ UCSD (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 34 | 33 | 67 |
| LMU | 26 | 31 | 57 |
1st half: UCSD 34, LMU 26 (UCSD by 8). The model had UCSD by 1.7 and a total of 67.3 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UCSD | LMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 9-30 30% |
| 9-19 47% | Free throws | 4-10 40% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 8 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Burke G | 33 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Leo Beath F | 33 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-13 | 1-3 |
| Tom Beattie G | 32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 22 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 26 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trap Johnson G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Vance, Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Ryder Elisaldez, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks, Cade Pendleton
| LMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Brown Jr. G | 36 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 7-18 | 5-15 |
| Jalen Shelley F | 32 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Jan Vide G | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Aaron McBride F | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rick Issanza C | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myron Amey Jr. G | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-8 |
| Rokas Jocius F | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| AJ Thomas G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Josh Dalton F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Cooper Smith, Jael Martin, Marley Zeller, George Tupy, Nakyel Shelton, Kevin Carney, Tanner Thomas
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -3.5
2 → LMU
CloseUCSD -1.5
2 pts toward LMU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 2
Close150.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -115 · LMU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -3.5 · closed UCSD -1.5 · moved 2 toward LMUmodel UCSD -2.5
model UCSD -2.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCSD -1.5 | UCSD -2.6 | UCSD +1.1 | W UCSD covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 143.6 | Under 6.9 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | UCSD 73.1 · LMU 70.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCSD -1.7 | UCSD -8.0 |
| 1H total | 67.3 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | UCSD 34.5 · LMU 32.8 | UCSD 34 · LMU 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSDlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 7-2 78% | 6-3 67% |
| LMUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg +8.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg +8.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
over 6under 3avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
LMU
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs EWU | W 70-62 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs UAPB | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ UTEP | W 71-58 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 14 | vs TROY | W 74-63 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCSB | W 78-74 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 24 | vs FAU | L 65-76 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs OHIO | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs STBK | L 68-71 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 2 | vs SLU | L 70-91 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−1.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+2.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
+14.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
+6.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+7.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−7.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
+8.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
−13.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
−13.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsEWU
EWUW 70-62
−21.5
8
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-72
+8.5
11
@UTEP
UTEPW 71-58
−15.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 74-63
−3.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBW 78-74
+6.5
24
vsFAU
FAUL 65-76
−3.5
25
vsOHIO
OHIOW 70-58
−16.5
28
vsSTBK
STBKL 68-71
+0.5
2
vsSLU
SLUL 70-91
+10.5
over 4under 5avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
8-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tulane93–67
- W@ Long Beach St80–74
- L@ Nevada70–76
- Wvs Towson87–73
- Wvs Bradley87–77
3 days since their last game.
LMU
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Saint Louis70–91
- Lvs Stony Brook68–71
- Wvs Ohio70–58
- Lvs FAU65–76
- W@ Santa Barbara78–74
A week or more of rest.