Burns Arena · at Utah Tech
Closing line
UTU -5.5✓ UTU covered by 2.5
UTU -5.5✓ UTU covered by 2.5Closing total145.5Over by 0.5
 UCR | This season | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 2-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 1-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCR 73–75 UTU · ✓ UTU (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCR | 35 | 34 | 69 |
| UTU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
1st half: UCR 35, UTU 41 (UTU by 6). The model had UTU by 1.1 and a total of 69.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| UCR | UTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-52 50% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 25 5 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 40 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. G | 38 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Andrew Henderson G | 38 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Osiris Grady F | 29 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| BJ Kolly F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton F | 24 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Jones G | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dylan Godfrey F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Tobiloba C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Parker Strauss, Denzel Hines, EJ Spillman, Ben Waller, Amaury McKinney, Gavin Haase
| UTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Trujillo G | 36 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Noah Bolanga G | 36 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Ethan Potter F | 31 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 11-19 | 0-2 |
| Tanner Davis G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Jusaun Holt G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madiba Owona G | 29 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Britton Berrett G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Samuel Ariyibi F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dario Domingos F | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Vandermyde, Hunter Schenck, Dallin Grant, Boston Harker, Marvel Allen
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTU -5.5
ModelUTU -2.0
Model edgeUCR +3.5
L UTU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model148.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
UCR 73.2 · UTU 75.2
UCR 69 · UTU 77
Win probability
UTU 57%
1st half
Spread
UTU -1.1
UTU -6.0
Total
69.5
76 points
Projected score
UCR 34.2 · UTU 35.3
UCR 35 · UTU 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTU -4.5
1 → UTU
CloseUTU -5.5
1 pt toward UTU
Total
Open143.5
▲ 2
Close145.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UCR +205 · UTU -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTU -4.5 · closed UTU -5.5 · moved 1 toward UTUmodel UTU -2
model UTU -2
Opened 143.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCRlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
| UTUlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 3-4 43% | 1-6 14% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Riverside
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@
UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@
CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@
USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vs
GRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
over 4under 2avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah Tech
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-6
14% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
+3.5
7
@
ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
+7.5
9
@
ASU
ASUL 66-81
−2.5
12
vs
MAN
MANL 75-79
−6.5
14
vs
MVSU
MVSUW 81-75
−20.5
15
@
HAW
HAWL 62-68
+10.5
25
vs
PRST
PRSTL 63-68
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 81-79
−4.5
7
@ARIZ
ARIZL 67-93
−2.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 66-81
−5.5
12
vsMAN
MANL 75-79
−4.5
14
vsMVSU
MVSUW 81-75
+10.5
15
@HAW
HAWL 62-68
−19.5
25
vsPRST
PRSTL 63-68
−15.5
over 1under 6avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Riverside
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Grambling83–74
- W@ San Diego85–71
- L@ CA Baptist57–80
- Lvs North Dakota74–76
- L@ New Mexico68–82
5 days since their last game.
Utah Tech
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Portland St63–68
- L@ Hawai'i62–68
- Wvs Miss Valley St81–75
- Lvs Manhattan75–79
- L@ Arizona St66–81
4 days since their last game.