Baha Mar Convention Center · Neutral site
Closing line
PUR -14.5✓ MEM covered by 5.5
PUR -14.5✓ MEM covered by 5.5Closing total156.5Under by 5.5
 MEM | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 4-0 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 69–89 PUR · ✓ PUR (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 35 | 36 | 71 |
| PUR | 36 | 44 | 80 |
1st half: MEM 35, PUR 36 (PUR by 1). The model had PUR by 11.6 and a total of 74.2 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MEM | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-59 42% | Field goals | 30-65 46% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 34 15 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 7-15 | 1-4 |
| Simon Majok C | 28 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Zach Davis G | 28 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Ashton Hardaway F | 25 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Ingraham F | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Sincere Parker G | 18 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Julius Thedford G | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Quante Berry G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| William Whorton F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Arop Arop, Mason Matthews, Hasan Abdul Hakim, Thierno Sylla
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 37 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 2-14 | 1-6 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 35 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 32 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| C.J. Cox G | 30 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 4-7 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 27 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Benter G | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Omer Mayer G | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Sam King, Liam Murphy, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Raleigh Burgess
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -14.5
ModelPUR -19.4
Model edgePUR +4.9
L MEM covered
Total
Market156.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 1.8
L Under
Projected score
MEM 69.4 · PUR 88.9
MEM 71 · PUR 80
Win probability
PUR 96%
1st half
Spread
PUR -11.6
PUR -1.0
Total
74.2
71 points
Projected score
MEM 31.3 · PUR 42.9
MEM 35 · PUR 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -14.5
no move
ClosePUR -14.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▼ 3
Close156.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MEM +800 · PUR -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -14.5 · unchangedmodel PUR -19.5
model PUR -19.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEMlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| PURlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Memphis
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
SF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@
MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vs
UNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
over 2under 1avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
EVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vs
OAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@
ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vs
AKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
over 2under 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Memphis
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNLV78–92
- L@ Ole Miss77–83
- Wvs San Francisco76–70
4 days since their last game.
Purdue
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Akron97–79
- W@ Alabama87–80
- Wvs Oakland87–77
- Wvs Evansville82–51
4 days since their last game.