Trask Coliseum · at UNC Wilmington
Closing line
UNCW -11.5✓ UNCW covered by 1.5
Closing total137.5Under by 10.5
| This season | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SELA 64–75 UNCW · ✓ UNCW (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SELA | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| UNCW | 27 | 43 | 70 |
1st half: SELA 33, UNCW 27 (SELA by 6). The model had UNCW by 6.5 and a total of 64.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| SELA | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-58 40% | Field goals | 21-47 45% |
| 5-29 17% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 6-12 50% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 40 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SELA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Elyzee G | 33 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 9-15 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Gaines F | 32 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaiden Lawrence G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Ethan Pickett G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| CJ Booker PG | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Forrest G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Seth Jones G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Peter Hemschemeier G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-6 |
| Makhi Myles F | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Ubong-Abasi Etim C | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kyle Edison, Ahmed Essahaty, Cody Al-Naziat, Amir Chaney, Garrett Shoemaker
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greedy Williams G | 34 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Christian May G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Nolan Hodge G | 30 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Noah Ross G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 22 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gavin Walsh F | 27 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Madison Durr G | 26 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jahnathan Lamothe, CJ Luster II, Makel Smith, JoJo Fullwood, Grady Whitt, Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCW -11.5
ModelUNCW -11.1
Model edgeSELA +0.4
L UNCW covered
Total
Market137.5
Model138.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
SELA 63.6 · UNCW 74.7
SELA 57 · UNCW 70
Win probability
UNCW 83%
1st half
Spread
UNCW -6.5
SELA -6.0
Total
64.8
60 points
Projected score
SELA 29.2 · UNCW 35.7
SELA 33 · UNCW 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -12.5
1 → SELA
CloseUNCW -11.5
1 pt toward SELA
Total
Open141.5
▼ 4
Close137.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SELA +575 · UNCW -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -12.5 · closed UNCW -11.5 · moved 1 toward SELAmodel UNCW -11
model UNCW -11
Opened 141.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 downmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | |
| 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Louisiana
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
MISS
L 58-88
−8.5
7
@
UL
L 52-58
−2.5
10
@
GT
L 60-70
+4.5
15
@
MSST
L 68-75
+20.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
MISS
L 58-88
+2.5
7
@
UL
L 52-58
−25.5
10
@
GT
L 60-70
−3.5
15
@
MSST
L 68-75
−7.5
over 1under 3avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Wilmington
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
−5.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−1.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
+18.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@
KENT
L 77-86
+6.5
15
vs
UPST
W 73-60
−22.5
18
vs
ECU
W 85-60
−0.5
21
@
RAD
W 81-73
+2.5
over 2under 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Louisiana
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mississippi St68–75
- L@ Georgia Tech60–70
- L@ Louisiana52–58
- L@ Ole Miss58–88
A week or more of rest.
UNC Wilmington
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Radford81–73
- Wvs East Carolina85–60
- Wvs SC Upstate73–60
- L@ Kent State77–86
5 days since their last game.