Fiserv Forum · Neutral site
Closing line
WIS -3.5✓ VILL covered by 13.5
WIS -3.5✓ VILL covered by 13.5Closing total152.5Under by 10.5
| WIS | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 8-2 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 7-3 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 77–75 VILL · ✗ WIS (55%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 22 | 34 | 10 | 66 |
| VILL | 35 | 21 | 20 | 76 |
1st half: WIS 22, VILL 35 (VILL by 13). The model had WIS by 1.0 and a total of 71.2 (actual 57).
Team stats
| WIS | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 26-65 40% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 11-31 35% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 35 7 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Winter F | 43 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9-12 | 4-6 |
| Nick Boyd G | 42 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 7-17 | 2-5 |
| John Blackwell G | 38 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 5-14 | 2-5 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 37 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 28 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Rapp F | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jack Janicki G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Will Garlock F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Riccardo Greppi, Braeden Carrington, Isaac Gard, Zach Kinziger, Jack Robison, Elijah Gray
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan F | 39 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 37 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 6-17 | 4-10 |
| Matt Hodge F | 35 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 35 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 22 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tafara Gapare F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Braden Pierce C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Malcolm Flaggs, Nico Onyekwere, Wade Chiddick, Chris Jeffrey, Zion Stanford
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -4.5
1 → VILL
CloseWIS -3.5
1 pt toward VILL
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
WIS -175 · VILL +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -4.5 · closed WIS -3.5 · moved 1 toward VILLmodel WIS -1.5
model WIS -1.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -3.5 | WIS -1.5 | VILL +2.0 | W VILL covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 152.2 | Under 0.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | WIS 76.8 · VILL 75.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -1.0 | VILL -13.0 |
| 1H total | 71.2 | 57 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 36.1 · VILL 35.1 | WIS 22 · VILL 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| VILL | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
over 7under 3avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsBYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 9 | @ MICH | L 61-89 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs PITT | W 79-61 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−10.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
9
@MICH
MICHL 61-89
−6.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 79-61
+1.5
over 5under 5avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
7-3 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nebraska60–90
- Wvs Marquette96–76
- Wvs Northwestern85–73
- Lvs TCU63–74
- Wvs Providence104–83
A week or more of rest.
Villanova
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pitt79–61
- L@ Michigan61–89
- Wvs Penn90–63
- Wvs Temple74–56
- Wvs Old Dominion89–75
6 days since their last game.