Imperial Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
VAN -18.5✓ WKU covered by 13.5
VAN -18.5✓ WKU covered by 13.5Closing total168.5Under by 7.5
| VAN | This season | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 3-0 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 93–75 WKU · ✓ VAN (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 40 | 43 | 83 |
| WKU | 35 | 43 | 78 |
1st half: VAN 40, WKU 35 (VAN by 5). The model had VAN by 10.8 and a total of 78.5 (actual 75).
Team stats
| VAN | WKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-53 45% | Field goals | 23-62 37% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 26-37 70% | Free throws | 24-33 73% |
| 37 7 off | Rebounds | 42 14 off |
| 18 | Assists | 13 |
| 12 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 22 | Fouls | 25 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Miles G | 32 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| AK Okereke F | 26 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 25 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 9-17 | 0-6 |
| Tyler Tanner G | 21 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frankie Collins G | 27 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Chandler Bing F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Washington F | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Mason Nicholson C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Coleson Messer, Jaylon Dean-Vines, George Kimble III, Miles Keeffe, Mike James
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Moore G | 34 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 6-12 | 1-3 |
| Cam Haffner G | 28 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6-14 | 5-10 |
| Terrion Murdix G | 24 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Grant Newell F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Blaise Keita F | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryant Selebangue F | 25 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Armelo Boone G | 23 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Ryan Myers G | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| LJ Hackman G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Noah Boyde C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kade Unseld G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Edelen G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Louie Semona III F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Stinnett, Lawson Rice
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -18.5
ModelVAN -17.6
Model edgeWKU +0.9
W WKU covered
Total
Market168.5
Model167.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
VAN 92.7 · WKU 75.1
VAN 83 · WKU 78
Win probability
VAN 94%
1st half
Spread
VAN -10.8
VAN -5.0
Total
78.5
75 points
Projected score
VAN 44.7 · WKU 33.9
VAN 40 · WKU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -18.5
no move
CloseVAN -18.5
No change since the open
Total
Open167.5
▲ 1
Close168.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAN -2800 · WKU +1300
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -18.5 · unchangedmodel VAN -17.5
model VAN -17.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 1 upmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VANlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
| WKUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +10.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@
UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vs
EKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vs
TXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
over 4under 1avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Western KY
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vs
TNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
over 2under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas Southern109–74
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff104–75
- Wvs E Kentucky92–62
- W@ UCF105–93
- Wvs Lipscomb105–61
6 days since their last game.
Western KY
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee St95–82
- W@ E Kentucky87–79
- Wvs Tennessee Tech82–70
A week or more of rest.