Idaho Central Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SHSU -1.5✓ SHSU covered by 1.5
SHSU -1.5✓ SHSU covered by 1.5Closing total142.5Over by 22.5
| SHSU | This season | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 1-3 |
| 3-0 | ATS | 4-0 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 75–73 IDST · ✓ SHSU (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| IDST | 34 | 47 | 81 |
1st half: SHSU 38, IDST 34 (SHSU by 4). The model had SHSU by 1.5 and a total of 69.3 (actual 72).
Team stats
| SHSU | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 21-46 46% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 22-28 79% | Free throws | 32-41 78% |
| 34 15 off | Rebounds | 23 9 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 13 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 30 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Begg G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 4-13 | 2-7 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Kashie Natt G | 30 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Po'Boigh King G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 22 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacobe Coleman G | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Jacob Walker G | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Manning G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jaxson Ford F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Matt Dann F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| CJ Beaumont G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Noah Benny, Nathan Nguyen, Jackson Rogers
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil G | 36 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 32 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 32 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Evan Otten F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lachlan Brewer G | 25 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-7 | 2-3 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 22 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 4-13 | 0-5 |
| Quin Patterson F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Louis Bond G | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Landen Birley, Trey Arland, Jaedyn Brown, Kasen Carpenter
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSHSU -2.5
1 → IDST
CloseSHSU -1.5
1 pt toward IDST
Total
Open145.5
▼ 3
Close142.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SHSU -130 · IDST +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SHSU -2.5 · closed SHSU -1.5 · moved 1 toward IDSTmodel SHSU -2
model SHSU -2
Opened 145.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 downmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SHSU -1.5 | SHSU -2.2 | SHSU +0.7 | W SHSU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 148.0 | Over 5.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SHSU 75.1 · IDST 72.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SHSU -1.5 | SHSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 69.3 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | SHSU 35.4 · IDST 33.9 | SHSU 38 · IDST 34 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSUlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% |
| IDSTlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 4-0 100% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +7.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@
UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vs
WYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
over 2under 1avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Idaho St
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
4-0
100% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@
SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@
SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@
SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
over 1under 3avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wyoming78–70
- L@ Utah79–85
- L@ Texas Tech77–98
A week or more of rest.
Idaho St
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Clara55–64
- L@ Seattle U74–83
- L@ San Diego St57–73
- W@ San Diego71–68
A week or more of rest.