PeoplesBank Arena · at UConn · Conference game
Closing line
CONN -15.5✓ CONN covered by 3.5
CONN -15.5✓ CONN covered by 3.5Closing total144.5Under by 5.5
 BTLR | This season | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 10-1 |
| 7-3 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BTLR 70–84 CONN · ✓ CONN (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 25 | 35 | 60 |
| CONN | 39 | 40 | 79 |
1st half: BTLR 25, CONN 39 (CONN by 14). The model had CONN by 8.0 and a total of 72.1 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BTLR | CONN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-61 30% | Field goals | 32-63 51% |
| 5-24 21% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 8-13 62% |
| 29 12 off | Rebounds | 47 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 13 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ajayi F | 34 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-1 |
| Finley Bizjack G | 32 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Drayton Jones C | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Azavier Robinson G | 23 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. F | 21 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Evan Haywood G | 23 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Yohan Traore F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Yame Butler G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jackson Keith F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryson Cardinal, Kevin Ndzie, Ethan McComb, Jalen Jackson, Jack McCaffery
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solo Ball G | 32 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 8-14 | 3-6 |
| Braylon Mullins G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 28 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Alex Karaban F | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. C | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Ross F | 25 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-4 |
| Eric Reibe C | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Malachi Smith G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alec Millender G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Furphy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Uros Paunovic G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rrezon Elezaj, Jacob Ross
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -16.5
1 → BTLR
CloseCONN -15.5
1 pt toward BTLR
Total
Open149.5
▼ 5
Close144.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
BTLR +950 · CONN -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -16.5 · closed CONN -15.5 · moved 1 toward BTLRmodel CONN -13.5
model CONN -13.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 5 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CONN -15.5 | CONN -13.5 | BTLR +2.0 | L CONN covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 154.1 | Over 9.6 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BTLR 70.3 · CONN 83.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CONN -8.0 | CONN -14.0 |
| 1H total | 72.1 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | BTLR 32.1 · CONN 40 | BTLR 25 · CONN 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| CONN | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
BTLR 0–8 CONNCONN leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CONN has won the last 8 meetings · BTLR 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | BTLR 78 @ CONN 80 | CONN -13.5 | BTLR W |
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | CONN 78 @ BTLR 74 | BTLR +8.5 | BTLR W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | BTLR 62 @ CONN 71 | CONN -13.5 | BTLR W |
| Jan 5, 2023-24 | CONN 88 @ BTLR 81 | BTLR +5.5 | CONN W |
| Jan 22, 2022-23 | BTLR 56 @ CONN 86 | CONN -15.5 | CONN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Butler
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs PROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
over 5under 5avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
UConn
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ KU | W 61-56 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 5 | vs ETAM | W 83-59 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 9 | vs FLA | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 12 | vs TEX | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
+1.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
−12.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
−0.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
2
@KU
KUW 61-56
−24.5
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 83-59
+0.5
9
vsFLA
FLAW 77-73
+4.5
12
vsTEX
TEXW 71-63
−11.5
over 4under 7avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Butler
8-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Providence113–110
- Lvs Boise St68–77
- Wvs E Michigan84–68
- Wvs Wright St94–69
- Wvs Virginia80–73
3 days since their last game.
UConn
10-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas71–63
- Wvs Florida77–73
- Wvs East Texas A&M83–59
- W@ Kansas61–56
- Wvs Illinois74–61
4 days since their last game.