Siegel Center · at VCU
Closing line
VCU -19.5✓ VCU covered by 2.5
VCU -19.5✓ VCU covered by 2.5Closing total154.5Over by 33.5
 AMER | This season | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 7-4 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 8-1 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 65–84 VCU · ✓ VCU (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 35 | 48 | 83 |
| VCU | 48 | 57 | 105 |
1st half: AMER 35, VCU 48 (VCU by 13). The model had VCU by 11.3 and a total of 69.4 (actual 83).
Team stats
| AMER | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 38-67 57% |
| 14-31 45% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 17-18 94% |
| 26 11 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 21 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 30 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 28 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 27 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 26 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-14 | 0-4 |
| Chris Eagan F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Dean Hogans G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Brown F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Matthew Casey G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Anderson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson McDonald, Adrian Samuels, Gibraltar Coleman, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Kamran Prince, Matt Mayock, Noah Jones
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyk Lewis G | 27 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-5 |
| Barry Evans F | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 23 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 20 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 24 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| Michael Belle F | 20 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 17 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Tillery G | 13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Ahmad Nowell G | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordann Dumont F | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Fermin, Obinnaya Okafor
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -19.5
ModelVCU -19.0
Model edgeAMER +0.5
L VCU covered
Total
Market154.5
Model148.3
Model edgeUnder 6.2
L Over
Projected score
AMER 64.6 · VCU 83.6
AMER 83 · VCU 105
Win probability
VCU 95%
1st half
Spread
VCU -11.3
VCU -13.0
Total
69.4
83 points
Projected score
AMER 29.1 · VCU 40.3
AMER 35 · VCU 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -20.5
1 → AMER
CloseVCU -19.5
1 pt toward AMER
Total
Open150.5
▲ 4
Close154.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
AMER +1400 · VCU -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -20.5 · closed VCU -19.5 · moved 1 toward AMERmodel VCU -19
model VCU -19
Opened 150.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 4 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMERlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% | 8-1 89% |
| VCU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-1
89% overs · avg +7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
over 8under 1avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
VCU
11 games played
Straight up
7-4
64% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | vs UNM | L 78-81 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 15 | vs NIA | W 84-58 | -30.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
−11.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 78-81
+1.5
15
vsNIA
NIAW 84-58
−1.5
over 5under 6avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MD Eastern78–60
- Wvs Drexel75–73
- Wvs Longwood92–66
- Lvs Siena55–59
- Wvs Maine74–61
A week or more of rest.
VCU
7-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Niagara84–58
- Lvs New Mexico78–81
- Wvs Samford83–57
- Wvs Virginia Tech86–68
- Lvs Vanderbilt74–89
3 days since their last game.