Hulman Center · at Indiana St
Closing line
INST -7.5✓ INST covered by 10.5
INST -7.5✓ INST covered by 10.5Closing total154.5Under by 32.5
 BALL | This season | INST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-2 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BALL 71–80 INST · ✓ INST (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| INST | 27 | 43 | 70 |
1st half: BALL 28, INST 27 (BALL by 1). The model had INST by 5.0 and a total of 70.5 (actual 55).
Team stats
| BALL | INST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-65 34% | Field goals | 27-58 47% |
| 4-20 20% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 4-5 80% | Free throws | 9-9 100% |
| 35 15 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 6 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler G | 32 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-2 |
| Mason Jones F | 32 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Devon Barnes G | 28 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-14 | 0-4 |
| Kayden Fish F | 23 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Elmore James IV G | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Hill G | 23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Cam Denson F | 22 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Preston Copeland F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Farley, Easton Foster, Kody Clancy, Jai Anthoni Bearden, Joey Hart, Zane Doughty
| INST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott F | 32 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Markus Harding C | 31 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Hall G | 29 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Camp Wagner G | 26 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-6 |
| Sterling Young G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jo Van Buggenhout G | 27 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Bruno Alocen G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Enel St. Bernard F | 14 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jayan Walker F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Caden Huttenlocker, Martin Kaupanger, Sivert Waerstad Nordheim, Derek Vorst, Cooper Bean, Hunter Harding, Zyair Greene
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketINST -7.5
ModelINST -8.6
Model edgeINST +1.1
W INST covered
Total
Market154.5
Model150.5
Model edgeUnder 4.0
W Under
Projected score
BALL 70.9 · INST 79.5
BALL 52 · INST 70
Win probability
INST 77%
1st half
Spread
INST -5.0
BALL -1.0
Total
70.5
55 points
Projected score
BALL 32.7 · INST 37.8
BALL 28 · INST 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenINST -8.5
1 → BALL
CloseINST -7.5
1 pt toward BALL
Total
Open148.5
▲ 6
Close154.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
BALL +290 · INST -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened INST -8.5 · closed INST -7.5 · moved 1 toward BALLmodel INST -8.5
model INST -8.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 6 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALLlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 0-3 0% |
| INSTlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BALL 1–3 INSTINST leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · INST has won the last 3 meetings · BALL 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024-25 | INST 94 @ BALL 84 | BALL -5.5 | INST W |
| Dec 16, 2023-24 | INST 83 vs BALL 72 | BALL +15.5 | BALL W |
| Nov 12, 2022-23 | BALL 71 @ INST 83 | INST -7.5 | INST W |
| Nov 27, 2021-22 | INST 75 @ BALL 97 | BALL +1 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ball State
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@
WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vs
LR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
over 0under 3avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana St
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −15.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLT
CLTL 76-92
−11.5
10
@
SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
+11.5
14
@
DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−0.5
19
vs
LT
LTW 60-51
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLT
CLTL 76-92
+15.5
10
@SIUE
SIUEW 64-55
−40.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 62-100
−1.5
19
vsLT
LTW 60-51
−36.5
over 1under 3avg −15.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ball State
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Little Rock62–68
- L@ Wisconsin55–86
- Wvs Louisiana75–64
A week or more of rest.
Indiana St
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana Tech60–51
- L@ Duke62–100
- W@ SIUE64–55
- L@ Charlotte76–92
3 days since their last game.