The Palestra · Neutral site
Closing line
HOF -3.5✓ HOF covered by 1.5
HOF -3.5✓ HOF covered by 1.5Closing total138.5Under by 17.5
| HOF | This season | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 2-3 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 4-0 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOF 72–70 LAS · ✓ HOF (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| LAS | 30 | 28 | 58 |
1st half: HOF 34, LAS 30 (HOF by 4). The model had HOF by 1.2 and a total of 66.7 (actual 64).
Team stats
| HOF | LAS | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 23-58 40% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 3-15 20% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis G | 40 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 9-18 | 3-7 |
| Preston Edmead G | 37 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| German Plotnikov G | 34 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Biggie Patterson G | 30 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 16 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Silas Sunday F | 20 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Alex Tsynkevich C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| A.J. Wills G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaeden Roberts, Joshua Aaron Reaves, Trey Boyd III, Brandon Morgan, Amir Williams, Carlos Lopez
| LAS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Acker G | 34 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jaeden Marshall G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-6 |
| Ashton Walker G | 27 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Justin Archer F | 18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Noah Collier F | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerome Brewer Jr. F | 22 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Rob Dockery G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Edwin Daniel F | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Harris F | 14 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Damon Strand G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Josue Grullon, Arlan Masharaliyev, Max Lipacis, Nas Hart, Truth Harris, Jaden Johnson, Bowyn Beatty
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOF -3.5
ModelHOF -1.7
Model edgeLAS +1.8
L HOF covered
Total
Market138.5
Model142.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
HOF 72 · LAS 70.3
HOF 63 · LAS 58
Win probability
HOF 56%
1st half
Spread
HOF -1.2
HOF -4.0
Total
66.7
64 points
Projected score
HOF 33.9 · LAS 32.7
HOF 34 · LAS 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOF -2.5
1 → HOF
CloseHOF -3.5
1 pt toward HOF
Total
Open142.5
▼ 4
Close138.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
HOF -165 · LAS +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOF -2.5 · closed HOF -3.5 · moved 1 toward HOFmodel HOF -1.5
model HOF -1.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 4 downmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOFlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% | 4-0 100% |
| LASlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hofstra
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +15.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@
IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@
BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@
TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
over 4under 0avg +15.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
La Salle
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
COPP
COPPW 87-59
+10.5
8
vs
MONM
MONMW 73-60
+8.5
11
@TEM
TEML 63-90
−20.5
15
vs
PSU
PSUL 69-83
−5.5
19
vs
VILL
VILLL 55-70
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-59
+6.5
8
vsMONM
MONMW 73-60
−10.5
11
@TEM
TEML 63-90
+4.5
15
vsPSU
PSUL 69-83
+6.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 55-70
−19.5
over 3under 2avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hofstra
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Temple76–81
- W@ Bucknell83–77
- L@ Iona73–81
- L@ UCF78–82
A week or more of rest.
La Salle
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Villanova55–70
- Lvs Penn State69–83
- L@ Temple63–90
- Wvs Monmouth73–60
- Wvs Coppin St87–59
A week or more of rest.