Clune Arena · at Air Force
Closing line
M-OH -10.5✓ M-OH covered by 4.5
M-OH -10.5✓ M-OH covered by 4.5Closing total143.5Under by 6.5
| M-OH | This season | AF |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-3 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 76–70 AF · ✓ M-OH (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 40 | 36 | 76 |
| AF | 26 | 35 | 61 |
1st half: M-OH 40, AF 26 (M-OH by 14). The model had M-OH by 3.8 and a total of 68.1 (actual 66).
Team stats
| M-OH | AF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 21-51 41% |
| 13-31 42% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 3-5 60% | Free throws | 14-22 64% |
| 41 11 off | Rebounds | 31 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Ipsaro G | 32 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Peter Suder G | 31 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Brant Byers F | 29 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 6-17 | 4-12 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 22 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Eian Elmer G | 17 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Skaljac G | 24 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Almar Atlason F | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Trey Perry G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Leshawn Stowers, Eli Yofan, Jackson Kotecki, Blake Anderson, Justin Kirby, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Robinson F | 40 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 32 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Lucas Hobin F | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Kam Sanders G | 31 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-4 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Walker F | 25 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Marshall G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Justin Hinds G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Imade, Chris Catchings, Brendan Martin, Keaton Frisch, Riley Dering, Elliott Taite, Josh Gatete, A.J. Patterson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -10.5
ModelM-OH -6.0
Model edgeAF +4.5
L M-OH covered
Total
Market143.5
Model145.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
M-OH 75.7 · AF 69.7
M-OH 76 · AF 61
Win probability
M-OH 70%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -3.8
M-OH -14.0
Total
68.1
66 points
Projected score
M-OH 36 · AF 32.1
M-OH 40 · AF 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenM-OH -9.5
1 → M-OH
CloseM-OH -10.5
1 pt toward M-OH
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -700 · AF +450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened M-OH -9.5 · closed M-OH -10.5 · moved 1 toward M-OHmodel M-OH -6
model M-OH -6
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OHlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| AFlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
M-OH 1–0 AFM-OH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · M-OH 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024-25 | AF 60 @ M-OH 73 | M-OH -6.5 | M-OH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ODU | W 87-72 | -16.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
over 1under 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Air Force
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vs
APSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vs
LIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
over 1under 2avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion87–72
A week or more of rest.
Air Force
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Long Island72–76
- Lvs Austin Peay54–74
- L@ Belmont63–79
4 days since their last game.