T-Mobile Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
BYU -9.5✓ VILL covered by 4.5
BYU -9.5✓ VILL covered by 4.5Closing total153.5Under by 16.5
 VILL | This season | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 70–80 BYU · ✓ BYU (82%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 32 | 34 | 66 |
| BYU | 42 | 29 | 71 |
1st half: VILL 32, BYU 42 (BYU by 10). The model had BYU by 6.3 and a total of 70.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| VILL | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-67 36% | Field goals | 26-66 39% |
| 10-35 29% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 49 17 off | Rebounds | 43 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan F | 32 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Matt Hodge F | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-7 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 25 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Devin Askew G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Lindsay G | 27 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 5-9 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Tafara Gapare F | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Braden Pierce C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Stanford, Malcolm Flaggs, Wade Chiddick, Nico Onyekwere
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 32 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 9-18 | 1-1 |
| Robert Wright III G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-16 | 0-3 |
| Richie Saunders G | 29 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Keba Keita F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khadim Mboup F | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dawson Baker F | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Xavion Staton C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jared McGregor, Brody Kozlowski, Nate Pickens, Dominique Diomande, Aleksej Kostic
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -9.5
ModelBYU -10.6
Model edgeBYU +1.1
L VILL covered
Total
Market153.5
Model149.5
Model edgeUnder 4.0
W Under
Projected score
VILL 69.5 · BYU 80
VILL 66 · BYU 71
Win probability
BYU 82%
1st half
Spread
BYU -6.3
BYU -10.0
Total
70.0
74 points
Projected score
VILL 31.9 · BYU 38.1
VILL 32 · BYU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -7.5
2 → BYU
CloseBYU -9.5
2 pts toward BYU
Total
Open152.5
▲ 1
Close153.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VILL +380 · BYU -550
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -7.5 · closed BYU -9.5 · moved 2 toward BYUmodel BYU -10.5
model BYU -10.5
Opened 152.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| BYU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
36 games played
Straight up
21-15
58% wins
Against the spread
18-18
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-15
58% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Against the spread
18-1850%
2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LAF | W 75-63 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 127.5 | O 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs COLU | L 80-90 | -17.5 | L −27.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 8 | vs NJIT | W 91-54 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 12 | @ JOES | L 76-83 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVA | L 60-70 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs PENN | W 93-49 | -15.5 | W +28.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 75-76 | +6.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs RID | W 72-48 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 3 | vs CIN | W 68-60 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs TEM | W 94-65 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 11 | vs FDU | W 86-72 | -28.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 17 | vs HALL | W 79-67 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 126.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | @ CREI | L 79-86 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 1 | @ BTLR | W 73-65 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | vs DEP | W 100-56 | -9.5 | W +34.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CONN | W 68-66 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ SJU | L 68-80 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 14 | @ XAV | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | vs PROV | W 75-73 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs GTWN | L 63-64 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ MARQ | L 74-87 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vsCREI | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 5 | @DEP | W 59-49 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 108 |
| Feb 9 | vsXAV | W 80-68 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 12 | vsSJU | W 73-71 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 15 | @PROV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 18 | @CONN | L 59-66 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 21 | vsMARQ | W 81-66 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 26 | @HALL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Mar 1 | vsBTLR | W 80-70 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 4 | @GTWN | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Mar 12 | vsHALL | W 67-55 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 122 |
| Mar 13 | vsCONN | L 56-73 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 129 |
| Apr 1 | vs COLO | W 85-64 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Apr 3 | vs USC | W 60-59 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 119 |
| Apr 5 | vs UCF | L 98-104 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | O 202 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLAF
LAFW 75-63
−6.5
6
vsCOLU
COLUL 80-90
−27.5
8
vsNJIT
NJITW 91-54
+14.5
12
@JOES
JOESL 76-83
−10.5
15
vsUVA
UVAL 60-70
−13.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 93-49
+28.5
24
vsMD
MDL 75-76
+5.5
27
vsRID
RIDW 72-48
+5.5
3
vsCIN
CINW 68-60
+12.5
7
vsTEM
TEMW 94-65
+19.5
11
vsFDU
FDUW 86-72
−14.5
17
vsHALL
HALLW 79-67
+3.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 79-86
−1.5
1
@BTLR
BTLRW 73-65
+9.5
4
vsDEP
DEPW 100-56
+34.5
8
vsCONN
CONNW 68-66
+0.5
11
@SJU
SJUL 68-80
−5.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 63-69
−3.5
17
vsPROV
PROVW 75-73
−6.5
20
vsGTWN
GTWNL 63-64
−8.5
24
@MARQ
MARQL 74-87
−3.5
1
vsCREI
CREIL 60-62
−3.5
5
@DEP
DEPW 59-49
+3.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 80-68
+9.5
12
vsSJU
SJUW 73-71
+4.5
15
@PROV
PROVL 62-75
−14.5
18
@CONN
CONNL 59-66
+1.5
21
vsMARQ
MARQW 81-66
+17.5
26
@HALL
HALLW 59-54
−3.5
1
vsBTLR
BTLRW 80-70
+1.5
4
@GTWN
GTWNL 73-75
−7.5
12
vsHALL
HALLW 67-55
+1.5
13
vsCONN
CONNL 56-73
−10.5
1
vsCOLO
COLOW 85-64
+15.5
3
vsUSC
USCW 60-59
−3.5
5
vsUCF
UCFL 98-104
−9.5
covered 18didn’t cover 18avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLAF
LAFW 75-63
+10.5
6
vsCOLU
COLUL 80-90
+23.5
8
vsNJIT
NJITW 91-54
+6.5
12
@JOES
JOESL 76-83
+17.5
15
vsUVA
UVAL 60-70
+1.5
19
vsPENN
PENNW 93-49
−0.5
24
vsMD
MDL 75-76
+11.5
27
vsRID
RIDW 72-48
−17.5
3
vsCIN
CINW 68-60
−11.5
7
vsTEM
TEMW 94-65
+14.5
11
vsFDU
FDUW 86-72
+6.5
17
vsHALL
HALLW 79-67
+19.5
21
@CREI
CREIL 79-86
+22.5
1
@BTLR
BTLRW 73-65
−6.5
4
vsDEP
DEPW 100-56
+9.5
8
vsCONN
CONNW 68-66
−10.5
11
@SJU
SJUL 68-80
+2.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 63-69
−14.5
17
vsPROV
PROVW 75-73
+6.5
20
vsGTWN
GTWNL 63-64
−8.5
24
@MARQ
MARQL 74-87
+19.5
1
vsCREI
CREIL 60-62
−21.5
5
@DEP
DEPW 59-49
−33.5
9
vsXAV
XAVW 80-68
+7.5
12
vsSJU
SJUW 73-71
+3.5
15
@PROV
PROVL 62-75
−5.5
18
@CONN
CONNL 59-66
−11.5
21
vsMARQ
MARQW 81-66
+5.5
26
@HALL
HALLW 59-54
−17.5
1
vsBTLR
BTLRW 80-70
+5.5
4
@GTWN
GTWNL 73-75
+7.5
12
vsHALL
HALLW 67-55
−5.5
13
vsCONN
CONNL 56-73
−5.5
1
vsCOLO
COLOW 85-64
+1.5
3
vsUSC
USCW 60-59
−31.5
5
vsUCF
UCFL 98-104
+45.5
over 21under 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
BYU
36 games played
Straight up
26-10
72% wins
Against the spread
22-14
61% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-14
61% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs CARK | W 88-50 | -33.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 8 | vs UCR | W 86-80 | -22.5 | L −16.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 13 | vs QUC | W 99-55 | -31.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | vs IDHO | W 95-71 | -28.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs MVSU | W 87-43 | -45.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 28 | vs MISS | L 85-96 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 29 | vs NCSU | W 72-61 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | @PROV | L 64-83 | -4.5 | L −23.5 | 143.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | vs FRES | W 95-67 | -25.5 | W +2.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs WYO | W 68-49 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 20 | vs FAMU | W 103-57 | -33.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 31 | vs ASU | W 76-56 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 4 | @ HOU | L 55-86 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 133.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs TTU | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 11 | @ TCU | L 67-71 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 14 | vs OKST | W 85-69 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 18 | @ UTAH | L 72-73 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | @COLO | W 83-67 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 25 | vsCIN | W 80-52 | -5.5 | W +22.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 28 | vs BAY | W 93-89 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 1 | @UCF | W 81-75 | +0.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 4 | vs ARIZ | L 74-85 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 8 | @CIN | L 66-84 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 11 | @ WVU | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 15 | vs KSU | W 80-65 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 18 | vs KU | W 91-57 | -2.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 22 | @ARIZ | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 26 | @ASU | W 91-81 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 1 | vsWVU | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 4 | @ ISU | W 88-85 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 8 | vsUTAH | W 85-74 | -11.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vsISU | W 96-92 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 188 |
| Mar 14 | vsHOU | L 54-74 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 20 | vs VCU | W 80-71 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 22 | vs WIS | W 91-89 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Mar 27 | vs ALA | L 88-113 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 175.5 | O 201 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsCARK
CARKW 88-50
+4.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 86-80
−16.5
13
vsQUC
QUCW 99-55
+12.5
16
vsIDHO
IDHOW 95-71
−4.5
23
vsMVSU
MVSUW 87-43
−1.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 85-96
−13.5
29
vsNCSU
NCSUW 72-61
+5.5
3
@PROV
PROVL 64-83
−23.5
11
vsFRES
FRESW 95-67
+2.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 68-49
+3.5
20
vsFAMU
FAMUW 103-57
+12.5
31
vsASU
ASUW 76-56
+10.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-86
−20.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 67-72
−6.5
11
@TCU
TCUL 67-71
−6.5
14
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-69
+2.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 72-73
−2.5
21
@COLO
COLOW 83-67
+10.5
25
vsCIN
CINW 80-52
+22.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 93-89
+0.5
1
@UCF
UCFW 81-75
+6.5
4
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-85
−13.5
8
@CIN
CINL 66-84
−16.5
11
@WVU
WVUW 73-69
+6.5
15
vsKSU
KSUW 80-65
+7.5
18
vsKU
KUW 91-57
+31.5
22
@ARIZ
ARIZW 96-95
+8.5
26
@ASU
ASUW 91-81
+2.5
1
vsWVU
WVUW 77-56
+11.5
4
@ISU
ISUW 88-85
+11.5
8
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-74
−0.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 96-92
+6.5
14
vsHOU
HOUL 54-74
−13.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 80-71
+7.5
22
vsWIS
WISW 91-89
+3.5
27
vsALA
ALAL 88-113
−20.5
covered 22didn’t cover 14avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsCARK
CARKW 88-50
−17.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 86-80
+11.5
13
vsQUC
QUCW 99-55
−4.5
16
vsIDHO
IDHOW 95-71
+13.5
23
vsMVSU
MVSUW 87-43
−14.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 85-96
+27.5
29
vsNCSU
NCSUW 72-61
−20.5
3
@PROV
PROVL 64-83
+3.5
11
vsFRES
FRESW 95-67
+3.5
14
vsWYO
WYOW 68-49
−27.5
20
vsFAMU
FAMUW 103-57
+12.5
31
vsASU
ASUW 76-56
−16.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-86
+7.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 67-72
−8.5
11
@TCU
TCUL 67-71
−1.5
14
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-69
+6.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 72-73
−5.5
21
@COLO
COLOW 83-67
+2.5
25
vsCIN
CINW 80-52
−4.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 93-89
+38.5
1
@UCF
UCFW 81-75
−0.5
4
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-85
+5.5
8
@CIN
CINL 66-84
+9.5
11
@WVU
WVUW 73-69
+6.5
15
vsKSU
KSUW 80-65
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 91-57
+0.5
22
@ARIZ
ARIZW 96-95
+37.5
26
@ASU
ASUW 91-81
+23.5
1
vsWVU
WVUW 77-56
−6.5
4
@ISU
ISUW 88-85
+23.5
8
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-74
+4.5
13
vsISU
ISUW 96-92
+42.5
14
vsHOU
HOUL 54-74
−6.5
20
vsVCU
VCUW 80-71
+2.5
22
vsWIS
WISW 91-89
+23.5
27
vsALA
ALAL 88-113
+25.5
over 22under 14avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
BYU
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.