Brown Bears at New Hampshire Wildcats: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 26, 1:00 PM ETLundholm Gymnasium · at New Hampshire

#156BRWNBrown59▲ winner

Final

Closing lineBRWN -5.5✓ BRWN covered by 6.5

Closing total136.5Under by 30.5

Season records: Brown and New Hampshire
BRWN	This season	UNH
2-5	Record	0-4
3-4	ATS	2-2
3-4	O/U	2-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BRWN 73–68 UNH · ✓ BRWN (66%) won

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BRWN	33	26	59
UNH	29	18	47

1st half: BRWN 33, UNH 29 (BRWN by 4). The model had BRWN by 2.9 and a total of 65.9 (actual 62).

Team stats

BRWN		UNH
22-51 43%	Field goals	18-60 30%
5-19 26%	3-pointers	7-30 23%
10-15 67%	Free throws	4-4 100%
35 7 off	Rebounds	34 9 off
12	Assists	8
8	Steals	9
6	Blocks	3
13	Turnovers	14
15	Fouls	16
28	Points in paint	20
5	Fast-break points	15

Players

BRWN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Landon Lewis F	32	17	8	1	7-14	0-2
Jeremiah Jenkins G	29	6	3	3	2-4	2-2
N'famara Dabo F	27	2	8	1	1-4	0-0
Isaiah Langham G	18	0	1	1	0-5	0-2
Luke Paragon G	10	0	0	0	0-2	0-2
Bench
Adrian Uchidiuno G	27	13	2	1	6-11	0-4
David Rochester G	21	4	6	3	0-3	0-2
Brady Loughlin G	21	17	3	0	6-8	3-5
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson G	15	0	3	2	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Wyatt DeGraaf, Jerrell Barron Jr., Jonah Drezner, Charlie O'Sullivan, AJ Lesburt Jr., Drew Kania

UNH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Davide Poser F	31	9	4	0	3-7	3-6
Jack Graham G	29	14	2	0	5-9	2-4
John Squire F	28	3	6	1	1-5	1-1
Belal El Shakery F	26	10	5	0	4-13	0-5
Tyler Bike G	22	0	3	2	0-3	0-3
Bench
KiJan Robinson G	24	0	4	2	0-6	0-3
Comeh Emuobor F	17	6	6	1	3-11	0-3
R.J. Kennedy G	14	5	2	1	2-6	1-5
Giannos Xanthopoulos C	5	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Jon O'Neill F	4	0	0	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Antoni Siewruk, Nick Sanford, Dylan Saunders, Myles Blackley

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	BRWN -5.5	BRWN -4.6	UNH +0.9	L BRWN covered
Total	136.5	140.6	Over 4.1	L Under
Projected score	—	BRWN 72.6 · UNH 68

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BRWN -2.9	BRWN -4.0
1H total	65.9	62
1H projected score	BRWN 34.4 · UNH 31.5	BRWN 33 · UNH 29

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BRWN LLWLW	3-4	43%	1-2	2-1
UNH LWWL	2-2	50%	—	2-2

Venue/role: BRWN away, as favorite; UNH home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BRWN OUUOU	3-4	43%	2-5
UNH UOUO	2-2	50%	0-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BRWNlast 7	2-5 29%	3-4 43%	3-4 43%
UNHlast 4	0-4 0%	2-2 50%	2-2 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

BRWN 2–1 UNHBRWN leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BRWN 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 15, 2024-25	UNH 58 @ BRWN 76	BRWN -8.5	BRWN W
Nov 14, 2023-24	BRWN 64 @ UNH 82	UNH +5.5	UNH W
Dec 21, 2022-23	UNH 51 @ BRWN 67	BRWN -6.5	BRWN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Brown

7 games played

Straight up

2-5

29% wins

Against the spread

3-4

43% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-4

43% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-529%

L L L L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-443%

L W L L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-443%

U O O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 7	vsSIE	L 46-62	+3.5	L −12.5	142.5	U 108
Nov 9	vsUVM	L 84-89	+5.5	W +0.5	131.5	O 173
Nov 12	@BU	L 77-90	+3.5	L −9.5	129.5	O 167
Nov 14	vsHAMP	L 63-72	-1.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 135
Nov 18	vsHC	W 68-49	-2.5	W +16.5	141.5	U 117
Nov 20	@STBK	L 70-80	+3.5	L −6.5	136.5	O 150
Nov 23	@ME	W 58-53	-1.5	W +3.5	127.5	U 111

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SIE

L 46-62

−12.5

UVM

L 84-89

+0.5

L 77-90

−9.5

HAMP

L 63-72

−10.5

W 68-49

+16.5

STBK

L 70-80

−6.5

W 58-53

+3.5

covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SIE

L 46-62

−34.5

UVM

L 84-89

+41.5

L 77-90

+37.5

HAMP

L 63-72

−4.5

W 68-49

−24.5

STBK

L 70-80

+13.5

W 58-53

−16.5

over 3under 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

New Hampshire

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-2

50% overs · avg −11 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-250%

L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-250%

U O U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@CLEM	L 38-88	+29.5	L −20.5	146.5	U 126
Nov 9	@HARV	L 75-86	+15.5	W +4.5	147.5	O 161
Nov 15	@GMU	L 44-61	+24.5	W +7.5	144.5	U 105
Nov 18	@PROV	L 66-98	+29.5	L −2.5	161.5	O 164

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

CLEM

L 38-88

−20.5

HARV

L 75-86

+4.5

GMU

L 44-61

+7.5

PROV

L 66-98

−2.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

CLEM

L 38-88

−20.5

HARV

L 75-86

+13.5

GMU

L 44-61

−39.5

PROV

L 66-98

+2.5

over 2under 2avg −11 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Brown @ New Hampshire

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Brown

New Hampshire

Brown

New Hampshire