Campbell Fighting Camels at Wake Forest Demon Deacons: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 25, 7:00 PM ETLJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest

#243CAMCampbell51final

Final

#89WAKEWake Forest99▲ winner

Closing lineWAKE -17.5✓ WAKE covered by 30.5

Closing total159.5Under by 9.5

Season records: Campbell and Wake Forest
CAM	This season	WAKE
2-3	Record	4-2
2-3	ATS	3-3
3-2	O/U	4-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: CAM 71–87 WAKE · ✓ WAKE (92%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
CAM	23	28	51
WAKE	50	49	99

1st half: CAM 23, WAKE 50 (WAKE by 27). The model had WAKE by 9.6 and a total of 73.9 (actual 73).

Team stats

CAM		WAKE
16-59 27%	Field goals	34-62 55%
4-26 15%	3-pointers	12-29 41%
15-26 58%	Free throws	19-22 86%
30 12 off	Rebounds	44 10 off
9	Assists	20
6	Steals	7
1	Blocks	2
14	Turnovers	8
17	Fouls	22
20	Points in paint	42
2	Fast-break points	8

Players

CAM	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dovydas Butka F	32	12	5	0	3-6	1-3
Jeremiah Johnson G	31	6	3	1	1-9	1-7
DJ Smith G	29	5	4	3	2-11	0-7
Chris Fields Jr. F	24	12	9	1	4-11	1-1
Cam Gregory G	22	4	2	1	2-6	0-2
Bench
Tasos Cook G	31	3	2	2	1-5	1-2
Enoch Kalambay G	10	6	1	0	3-7	0-3
Muneer Newton F	8	2	2	0	0-2	0-0
Broc Bidwell G	7	1	0	0	0-0	0-0
Dominykas Butka G	6	0	0	1	0-2	0-1

Did not play: Israel Yaw, Klairus Amir, Daniel Marcellinus

WAKE	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Juke Harris G	25	17	6	1	6-12	5-9
Mekhi Mason G	23	16	9	2	4-10	3-7
Tre'Von Spillers F	22	10	7	2	5-6	0-1
Nate Calmese G	21	8	0	7	3-5	0-1
Omaha Biliew F	16	9	3	2	4-7	1-3
Bench
Myles Colvin G	21	13	2	1	4-8	1-4
Marqus Marion F	20	2	5	1	0-1	0-1
Cooper Schwieger F	16	7	4	1	2-4	1-1
Sebastian Akins G	16	8	2	2	2-4	0-1
Isaac Carr G	6	4	1	1	2-2	0-0
Jaylen Cross G	5	2	0	0	1-2	0-0
Will Underwood G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Vincent Ricchiuti F	3	3	0	0	1-1	1-1
Anson Beard Jr. G	3	0	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	WAKE -17.5	WAKE -16.1	CAM +1.4	L WAKE covered
Total	159.5	157.9	Under 1.6	W Under
Projected score	—	CAM 70.9 · WAKE 87

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WAKE -9.6	WAKE -27.0
1H total	73.9	73
1H projected score	CAM 32.2 · WAKE 41.7	CAM 23 · WAKE 50

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
CAM LWLLW	2-3	40%	1-2	1-2
WAKE LWWWL	3-3	50%	1-2	1-3

Venue/role: CAM away, as underdog; WAKE home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
CAM OUOOU	3-2	60%	2-3
WAKE UOOOU	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CAMlast 5	2-3 40%	2-3 40%	3-2 60%
WAKElast 6	4-2 67%	3-3 50%	4-2 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Campbell

5 games played

Straight up

2-3

40% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +6.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-340%

L L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-340%

L W L L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-260%

O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WIS	L 64-96	+20.5	L −11.5	151.5	O 160
Nov 6	@WVU	L 65-73	+15.5	W +7.5	138.5	U 138
Nov 9	vsWMU	W 91-82	-9.5	L −0.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 19	@WEB	L 85-91	+1.5	L −4.5	159.5	O 176
Nov 21	vsUTA	W 71-67	-1.5	W +2.5	151.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WIS

L 64-96

−11.5

WVU

L 65-73

+7.5

WMU

W 91-82

−0.5

WEB

L 85-91

−4.5

UTA

W 71-67

+2.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WIS

L 64-96

+8.5

WVU

L 65-73

−0.5

WMU

W 91-82

+20.5

WEB

L 85-91

+16.5

UTA

W 71-67

−13.5

over 3under 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Wake Forest

6 games played

Straight up

4-2

67% wins

Against the spread

3-3

50% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-267%

W W L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-350%

L L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-267%

O U O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsAMER	W 88-74	-19.5	L −5.5	139.5	O 162
Nov 7	vsMORE	W 81-65	-22.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 146
Nov 11	vsMICH	L 84-85	+15.5	W +14.5	168.5	O 169
Nov 16	vsUML	W 109-75	-30.5	W +3.5	165.5	O 184
Nov 20	vsTTU	L 83-84	+9.5	W +8.5	160.5	O 167
Nov 21	vsMEM	W 69-68	-2.5	L −1.5	160.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

AMER

W 88-74

−5.5

W 81-65

−6.5

MICH

L 84-85

+14.5

UML

W 109-75

+3.5

TTU

L 83-84

+8.5

MEM

W 69-68

−1.5

covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

AMER

W 88-74

+22.5

W 81-65

−6.5

MICH

L 84-85

+0.5

UML

W 109-75

+18.5

TTU

L 83-84

+6.5

MEM

W 69-68

−23.5

over 4under 2avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Campbell @ Wake Forest

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Campbell

Wake Forest

Campbell

Wake Forest