Chase Center · at San Francisco
Closing line
SF -11.5✓ SF covered by 2.5
SF -11.5✓ SF covered by 2.5Closing total143.5Over by 12.5
 LUC | This season | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 5-5 |
| 1-10 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LUC 64–79 SF · ✓ SF (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LUC | 36 | 35 | 71 |
| SF | 50 | 35 | 85 |
1st half: LUC 36, SF 50 (SF by 14). The model had SF by 8.5 and a total of 67.0 (actual 86).
Team stats
| LUC | SF | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 3-18 17% | 3-pointers | 13-27 48% |
| 24-33 73% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 30 7 off |
| 6 | Assists | 18 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayde Dotson G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Justin Moore G | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Kymany Houinsou G | 28 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Amos F | 27 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Miles Rubin C | 24 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joshua Ola-Joseph F | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Deywilk Tavarez G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Alexander Richardson C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Love III G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Young F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nic Anderson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Reese G | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Yurasek, Daniil Glazkov, Zachary Royster, Dominick Harris
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 35 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 7-10 | 6-8 |
| Ryan Beasley G | 32 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Mookie Cook F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Fuchs F | 29 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Legend Smiley G | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Junjie Wang F | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Weilun Zhao G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva, Saba Gigiberia, Sean Blakely Drummond
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSF -11.5
ModelSF -14.4
Model edgeSF +2.9
W SF covered
Total
Market143.5
Model142.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
L Over
Projected score
LUC 64.3 · SF 78.6
LUC 71 · SF 85
Win probability
SF 90%
1st half
Spread
SF -8.5
SF -14.0
Total
67.0
86 points
Projected score
LUC 29.2 · SF 37.7
LUC 36 · SF 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -12.5
1 → LUC
CloseSF -11.5
1 pt toward LUC
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LUC +525 · SF -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -12.5 · closed SF -11.5 · moved 1 toward LUCmodel SF -14.5
model SF -14.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LUC | 2-8 20% | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% |
| SF | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LUC 2–1 SFLUC leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · LUC 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024-25 | LUC 77 @ SF 76 | SF -4.5 | LUC W |
| Dec 15, 2024-25 | SF 76 vs LUC 66 | LUC +3.5 | SF W |
| Jan 6, 2021-22 | LUC 79 vs SF 74 | SF +2.5 | LUC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola Chicago
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
1-10
9% covers · avg −13.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CLE | W 91-88 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 6 | vs MERC | L 65-73 | -21.5 | L −29.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs UNT | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 13 | @ WICH | L 74-95 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs CSU | L 67-80 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIU | L 59-76 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNI | L 51-72 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJSU | L 51-63 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 2 | vs CMU | W 83-72 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | vs PRIN | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs CHST | L 75-84 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
−14.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−29.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−3.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
−15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−9.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−30.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−12.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−10.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+4.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
−1.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
−24.5
covered 1didn’t cover 10avg −13.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCLE
CLEW 91-88
+27.5
6
vsMERC
MERCL 65-73
−6.5
9
vsUNT
UNTL 62-64
−12.5
13
@WICH
WICHL 74-95
+15.5
16
vsCSU
CSUL 67-80
−4.5
21
vsNIU
NIUL 59-76
−13.5
25
vsUNI
UNIL 51-72
−11.5
26
vsSJSU
SJSUL 51-63
−22.5
2
vsCMU
CMUW 83-72
+14.5
6
vsPRIN
PRINW 73-68
+4.5
14
vsCHST
CHSTL 75-84
+18.5
over 5under 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
San Francisco
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
over 4under 6avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola Chicago
3-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Chicago St75–84
- Wvs Princeton73–68
- Wvs C Michigan83–72
- Lvs San José St51–63
- Lvs Northern Iowa51–72
3 days since their last game.
San Francisco
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Louis75–85
- Wvs Mississippi St65–62
- Lvs North Alabama63–65
- Lvs Nevada65–81
- Lvs Colorado69–79
4 days since their last game.