John Gray Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
GW -9.5✓ GW covered by 3.5
GW -9.5✓ GW covered by 3.5Closing total158.5Over by 12.5
| GW | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-0 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GW 85–76 MTSU · ✓ GW (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 49 | 43 | 92 |
| MTSU | 41 | 38 | 79 |
1st half: GW 49, MTSU 41 (GW by 8). The model had GW by 5.7 and a total of 75.1 (actual 90).
Team stats
| GW | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-54 57% | Field goals | 27-53 51% |
| 11-22 50% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 26 4 off | Rebounds | 27 5 off |
| 19 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Trey Autry G | 24 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Rafael Castro F | 23 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Christian Jones G | 21 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 7-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Dinkins G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Luke Hunger F | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Johnson F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Ty Bevins G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Mohamed Binzagr, Amir Arrington, Vincent Chaudhri, Trey Moss
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston F | 30 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Kamari Lands G | 28 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-6 |
| Chris Loofe F | 25 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Sean Smith G | 18 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Tre Green G | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alec Oglesby G | 25 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-6 | 4-5 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jarred Hall F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Charvez Ambrose, Savon Wykle
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -9.5
no move
CloseGW -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▼ 1
Close158.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
GW -575 · MTSU +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -9.5 · unchangedmodel GW -9
model GW -9
Opened 159.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GW -9.5 | GW -9.2 | MTSU +0.3 | L GW covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 160.3 | Over 1.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | GW 84.8 · MTSU 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GW -5.7 | GW -8.0 |
| 1H total | 75.1 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | GW 40.4 · MTSU 34.7 | GW 49 · MTSU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GWlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
| MTSUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
G Washington
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vs
USF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vs
AMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vs
ODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vs
UMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vs
MCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
over 4under 2avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@
EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@
MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vs
MUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
over 2under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
G Washington
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs McNeese86–92
- Wvs UMBC89–52
- Wvs Old Dominion96–73
- Wvs American107–67
- Wvs South Florida99–95
1 day since their last game.
MTSU
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Murray St90–87
- L@ Michigan61–86
- W@ Evansville77–72
1 day since their last game.