Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas
Closing line
CONN -3.5✓ CONN covered by 1.5
CONN -3.5✓ CONN covered by 1.5Closing total141.5Under by 24.5
| CONN | This season | KU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 6-2 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CONN 73–71 KU · ✓ CONN (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONN | 29 | 32 | 61 |
| KU | 33 | 23 | 56 |
1st half: CONN 29, KU 33 (KU by 4). The model had CONN by 1.8 and a total of 67.4 (actual 62).
Team stats
| CONN | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 18-51 35% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 38 11 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 7 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| CONN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban F | 38 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Eric Reibe C | 31 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Solo Ball G | 29 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Silas Demary Jr. G | 29 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Jaylin Stewart F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braylon Mullins G | 23 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 6-12 | 3-9 |
| Jayden Ross F | 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Malachi Smith G | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Dwayne Koroma F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Uros Paunovic, Rrezon Elezaj, Jacob Furphy, Alec Millender, Jacob Ross, Tarris Reed Jr.
| KU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. G | 37 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-3 |
| Flory Bidunga F | 37 | 11 | 12 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Tre White G | 36 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jamari McDowell G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Bryson Tiller F | 29 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elmarko Jackson G | 16 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Jayden Dawson G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kohl Rosario G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Corbin Allen, Nginyu Ngala, Paul Mbiya, Samis Calderon, Will Thengvall, Justin Cross, Wilder Evers, Darryn Peterson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCONN -3.5
ModelCONN -2.7
Model edgeKU +0.8
L CONN covered
Total
Market141.5
Model144.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
L Under
Projected score
CONN 73.3 · KU 70.6
CONN 61 · KU 56
Win probability
CONN 59%
1st half
Spread
CONN -1.8
KU -4.0
Total
67.4
62 points
Projected score
CONN 34.6 · KU 32.8
CONN 29 · KU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCONN -1.5
2 → CONN
CloseCONN -3.5
2 pts toward CONN
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CONN -155 · KU +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CONN -1.5 · closed CONN -3.5 · moved 2 toward CONNmodel CONN -2.5
model CONN -2.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CONNlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% |
| KUlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 5-3 63% | 2-6 25% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CONN 0–1 KUKU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CONN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2023-24 | CONN 65 @ KU 69 | KU -3 | KU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UConn
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NHVN | W 79-55 | -42.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs UML | W 110-47 | -36.5 | W +26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs COLU | W 89-62 | -32.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs BYU | W 86-84 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARIZ | L 67-71 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 23 | vs BRY | W 72-49 | -36.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILL | W 74-61 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−18.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+26.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−5.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
−4.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−8.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−13.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
+8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNHVN
NHVNW 79-55
−11.5
7
vsUML
UMLW 110-47
+5.5
10
vsCOLU
COLUW 89-62
−4.5
15
vsBYU
BYUW 86-84
+13.5
19
vsARIZ
ARIZL 67-71
−18.5
23
vsBRY
BRYW 72-49
−26.5
28
vsILL
ILLW 74-61
−15.5
over 2under 5avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs GB | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ UNC | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs AMCC | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs PRIN | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs DUKE | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs ND | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs SYR | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs TENN | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
+12.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
−10.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
+5.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−3.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−1.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
+4.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
+6.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsGB
GBW 94-51
−7.5
7
@UNC
UNCL 74-87
+1.5
11
vsAMCC
AMCCW 77-46
−22.5
15
vsPRIN
PRINW 76-57
−11.5
18
vsDUKE
DUKEL 66-78
−5.5
24
vsND
NDW 71-61
−11.5
25
vsSYR
SYRW 71-60
−13.5
26
vsTENN
TENNW 81-76
+16.5
over 2under 6avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UConn
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Illinois74–61
- Wvs Bryant72–49
- Lvs Arizona67–71
- Wvs BYU86–84
- Wvs Columbia89–62
4 days since their last game.
Kansas
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee81–76
- Wvs Syracuse71–60
- Wvs Notre Dame71–61
- Lvs Duke66–78
- Wvs Princeton76–57
6 days since their last game.