Detrick Gymnasium · at C Connecticut
Closing line
CCSU -6.5✓ FAIR covered by 20.5
CCSU -6.5✓ FAIR covered by 20.5Closing total143.5Over by 10.5
 FAIR | This season | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 4-4 |
| 4-7 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 69–75 CCSU · ✗ CCSU (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 47 | 37 | 84 |
| CCSU | 26 | 44 | 70 |
1st half: FAIR 47, CCSU 26 (FAIR by 21). The model had CCSU by 3.3 and a total of 67.5 (actual 73).
Team stats
| FAIR | CCSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-61 51% | Field goals | 25-63 40% |
| 12-28 43% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin F | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Braden Sparks G | 28 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 8-13 | 4-6 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 25 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Tony Williams G | 19 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Mejia G | 20 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-2 |
| Deuce Turner G | 20 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Ryan Zan F | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cam Estevez G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| CCSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jones G | 35 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jay Rodgers G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Darin Smith Jr. G | 29 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 7-19 | 4-7 |
| Max Frazier F | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Parker G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melo Sanchez G | 21 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Daniel James F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ashton Reynolds G | 14 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Ja'Kobe Williams G | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Gabe Spinelli G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Roddy Jones G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Corsley Edwards Jr., Rashawn Tibby, Jayden Mott, Adam Fox, Nico Ashley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCCSU -6.5
ModelCCSU -5.8
Model edgeFAIR +0.7
W FAIR covered
Total
Market143.5
Model144.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
W Over
Projected score
FAIR 69.2 · CCSU 75
FAIR 84 · CCSU 70
Win probability
CCSU 69%
1st half
Spread
CCSU -3.3
FAIR -21.0
Total
67.5
73 points
Projected score
FAIR 32.1 · CCSU 35.4
FAIR 47 · CCSU 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCSU -4.5
2 → CCSU
CloseCCSU -6.5
2 pts toward CCSU
Total
Open141.5
▲ 2
Close143.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +205 · CCSU -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCSU -4.5 · closed CCSU -6.5 · moved 2 toward CCSUmodel CCSU -6
model CCSU -6
Opened 141.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| CCSUlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FAIR 0–1 CCSUCCSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · FAIR 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | CCSU 64 @ FAIR 63 | FAIR +1.5 | FAIR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PSU | L 68-76 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NJIT | W 74-53 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 10 | @ HALL | L 59-82 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 14 | vs STO | W 73-71 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 16 | vs L-MD | W 85-82 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 22 | @ LEM | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs COLU | L 77-106 | +3.5 | L −25.5 | 150.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNH | W 72-68 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 5 | @ MAN | L 66-70 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRMK | L 63-74 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | vs MONM | W 73-65 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−5.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−5.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 72-68
−7.5
5
@MAN
MANL 66-70
−19.5
7
@MRMK
MRMKL 63-74
−7.5
14
vsMONM
MONMW 73-65
−5.5
over 5under 6avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
C Connecticut
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
over 4under 4avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
6-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Monmouth73–65
- L@ Merrimack63–74
- L@ Manhattan66–70
- Wvs New Hampshire72–68
- Lvs Columbia77–106
4 days since their last game.
C Connecticut
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Binghamton84–67
- L@ Northeastern56–73
- L@ Seton Hall61–77
- Wvs Sacred Heart108–106
- W@ Rutgers67–54
5 days since their last game.