Dickies Arena · at North Texas
Closing line
TCU -9.5✓ TCU covered by 0.5
TCU -9.5✓ TCU covered by 0.5Closing total135.5Under by 15.5
| TCU | This season | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 6-2 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 74–63 UNT · ✓ TCU (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| UNT | 37 | 18 | 55 |
1st half: TCU 31, UNT 37 (UNT by 6). The model had TCU by 6.6 and a total of 64.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| TCU | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-54 44% | Field goals | 20-47 43% |
| 3-17 18% | 3-pointers | 3-13 23% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 25 4 off |
| 8 | Assists | 8 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding G | 35 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| David Punch F | 34 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7-9 | 1-1 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Micah Robinson G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jace Posey G | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kayden Edwards G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: RJ Jones, Ashton Simmons, Adam Stewart, Drew McElroy, Trey Stuart, Malick Diallo
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 6-13 | 2-4 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 33 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 31 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Demarion Watson G | 19 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Reece Robinson F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Franklin G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Josiah Shackleford F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cahmai Crosby G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| EJ Horton G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will McClendon
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTCU -9.5
ModelTCU -10.6
Model edgeTCU +1.1
W TCU covered
Total
Market135.5
Model137.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
TCU 74 · UNT 63.4
TCU 65 · UNT 55
Win probability
TCU 82%
1st half
Spread
TCU -6.6
UNT -6.0
Total
64.4
68 points
Projected score
TCU 35.5 · UNT 28.9
TCU 31 · UNT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNT -8.5
18 → TCU
CloseTCU -9.5
18 pts toward TCU
Total
Open132.5
▲ 3
Close135.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
TCU -470 · UNT +360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNT -8.5 · closed TCU -9.5 · moved 18 toward TCUmodel TCU -10.5
model TCU -10.5
Opened 132.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 3 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCUlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
| UNTlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
over 4under 4avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Texas
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
over 3under 5avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Notre Dame85–87
- Wvs Wisconsin74–63
- Wvs Florida84–80
- Wvs Kansas City81–45
- Lvs Michigan63–67
2 days since their last game.
North Texas
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hou Christian77–75
- Wvs Prairie View72–69
- Wvs E Washington79–71
- Wvs C Arkansas74–56
- L@ Saint Mary's49–80
5 days since their last game.