Bren Events Center · at UC Irvine
Closing line
UCI -1.5✓ BEL covered by 27.5
UCI -1.5✓ BEL covered by 27.5Closing total150.5Under by 8.5
 BEL | This season | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| 10-1 | Record | 5-4 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 3-6 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 73–73 UCI · ✗ UCI (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| UCI | 36 | 22 | 58 |
1st half: BEL 38, UCI 36 (BEL by 2). The model had UCI by 0.0 and a total of 68.6 (actual 74).
Team stats
| BEL | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 20-63 32% |
| 13-25 52% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 46 9 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 20 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 31 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Sam Orme F | 30 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-7 |
| Nic McClain G | 27 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 24 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 18 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Smiley G | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 15 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah West G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 11 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Win Miller G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Graydon Lemke F | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Keith Robbins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Dykstra G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Noyes
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Chol F | 31 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 30 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-16 | 2-6 |
| Tama Isaac G | 24 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Derin Saran G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-9 | 1-4 |
| Kyle Evans F | 18 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 22 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-7 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 13 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tishan Ahir G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Torian Lee, Bryce Goldman, Langston Redfield, Josh Palmer, Luke Isaak, Mason Hodges
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -1.5
ModelUCI -0.3
Model edgeBEL +1.3
W BEL covered
Total
Market150.5
Model146.4
Model edgeUnder 4.1
W Under
Projected score
BEL 73.1 · UCI 73.3
BEL 84 · UCI 58
Win probability
UCI 51%
1st half
Spread
UCI -0.0
BEL -2.0
Total
68.6
74 points
Projected score
BEL 34.3 · UCI 34.3
BEL 38 · UCI 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBEL -1.5
3 → UCI
CloseUCI -1.5
3 pts toward UCI
Total
Open145.5
▲ 5
Close150.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
BEL -102 · UCI -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -1.5 · closed UCI -1.5 · moved 3 toward UCImodel UCI -0.5
model UCI -0.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 5 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UCIlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% | 3-6 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BEL 0–1 UCIUCI leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BEL 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024-25 | UCI 92 @ BEL 84 | BEL +2.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
11 games played
Straight up
10-1
91% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
over 5under 6avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Irvine
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
over 3under 6avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
10-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Evansville83–78
- Wvs UIC87–84
- W@ MTSU83–62
- Lvs Richmond76–84
- W@ Charleston96–73
3 days since their last game.
UC Irvine
5-4 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge85–71
- Wvs UC Riverside73–60
- W@ San José St72–63
- Wvs S Dakota St64–52
- Lvs New Mexico St45–57
A week or more of rest.