Veterans Memorial Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
FLA -10.5✓ FLA covered by 3.5
FLA -10.5✓ FLA covered by 3.5Closing total171.5Under by 21.5
 MIA | This season | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIA 76–91 FLA · ✓ FLA (91%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 29 | 39 | 68 |
| FLA | 39 | 43 | 82 |
1st half: MIA 29, FLA 39 (FLA by 10). The model had FLA by 9.0 and a total of 78.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| MIA | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-71 34% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 5-17 29% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 15-27 56% | Free throws | 19-29 66% |
| 42 17 off | Rebounds | 50 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 25 | Fouls | 23 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tru Washington G | 38 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Tre Donaldson G | 37 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 5-17 | 1-4 |
| Malik Reneau F | 30 | 22 | 11 | 0 | 8-23 | 1-5 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 30 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Allen G | 15 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Marcus Allen F | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Timo Malovec F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noam Dovrat, JJ Laboy, Jordyn Kee, Treyvon Maddox
| FLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh F | 37 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5-12 | 3-6 |
| Boogie Fland G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-5 |
| Xaivian Lee G | 27 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Rueben Chinyelu C | 26 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Alex Condon F | 23 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Urban Klavzar G | 26 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Micah Handlogten C | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Viktor Mikic C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Olivier Rioux, CJ Ingram, Alex Kovatchev, Alex Lloyd, Cooper Josefsberg, AJ Brown
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFLA -10.5
no move
CloseFLA -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open167.5
▲ 4
Close171.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MIA +425 · FLA -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FLA -10.5 · unchangedmodel FLA -15
model FLA -15
Opened 167.5 · closed 171.5 · moved 4 upmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FLA -10.5 | FLA -15.2 | FLA +4.7 | W FLA covered |
| Total | 171.5 | 167.5 | Under 4.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MIA 76.1 · FLA 91.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FLA -9.0 | FLA -10.0 |
| 1H total | 78.4 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | MIA 34.7 · FLA 43.7 | MIA 29 · FLA 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIAlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
| FLAlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
JAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vs
BCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vs
STET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
over 3under 0avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
−9.5
6
vs
UNF
UNFW 104-64
−3.5
11
vs
FSU
FSUW 78-76
−15.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARIZ
ARIZL 87-93
+15.5
6
vsUNF
UNFW 104-64
−1.5
11
vsFSU
FSUW 78-76
−26.5
over 1under 2avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stetson102–61
- Wvs Bethune101–61
- Wvs Jacksonville86–69
6 days since their last game.
Florida
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida St78–76
- Wvs North Florida104–64
- Lvs Arizona87–93
5 days since their last game.