LionTree Arena · at UC San Diego · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -2.5✓ UCI covered by 4.5
UCSD -2.5✓ UCI covered by 4.5Closing total146.5Under by 26.5
 UCI | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 13-5 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 11-7 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCI 69–74 UCSD · ✗ UCSD (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 28 | 33 | 61 |
| UCSD | 28 | 31 | 59 |
1st half: UCI 28, UCSD 28 (tied). The model had UCSD by 2.6 and a total of 66.7 (actual 56).
Team stats
| UCI | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 22-65 34% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 9-32 28% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 6-9 67% |
| 44 8 off | Rebounds | 40 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurian Dixon G | 32 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6-17 | 0-4 |
| Derin Saran G | 32 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-3 |
| Kyle Evans F | 31 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Tama Isaac G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 13 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Harrison Carrington F | 22 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Andre Henry G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ben Egbo G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Langston Redfield, Mason Hodges, Luke Isaak, Josh Palmer, Elijah Chol, Bryce Goldman, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 33 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Leo Beath F | 32 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-5 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 31 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 28 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 21 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Burke G | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Trap Johnson G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jaden Vance, Jasen Brooks, Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Ryder Elisaldez, Yaqub Mir
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -2.5
ModelUCSD -4.5
Model edgeUCSD +2.0
L UCI covered
Total
Market146.5
Model142.4
Model edgeUnder 4.1
W Under
Projected score
UCI 68.9 · UCSD 73.5
UCI 61 · UCSD 59
Win probability
UCSD 65%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -2.6
tied
Total
66.7
56 points
Projected score
UCI 32.1 · UCSD 34.6
UCI 28 · UCSD 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -1.5
1 → UCSD
CloseUCSD -2.5
1 pt toward UCSD
Total
Open142.5
▲ 4
Close146.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCI +124 · UCSD -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -1.5 · closed UCSD -2.5 · moved 1 toward UCSDmodel UCSD -4.5
model UCSD -4.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCI | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCI 4–4 UCSDSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 2 meetings · UCI 3-4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | UCI 61 vs UCSD 75 | UCSD -5.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UCSD 85 @ UCI 67 | UCI +0.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UCI 60 @ UCSD 52 | UCSD -5.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UCI 88 @ UCSD 92 | UCSD -0.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | UCSD 65 @ UCI 76 | UCI -6.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC Irvine
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUN | W 85-71 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 19 | vs BEL | L 58-84 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs NDSU | W 74-73 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs NORF | W 89-70 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 1 | @ CSUB | W 81-77 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ CSUF | W 86-64 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 160.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 8 | vs LBSU | W 74-64 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 10 | @ HAW | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ UCD | L 72-75 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 22 | @UCR | W 80-66 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+6.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−27.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+2.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+7.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
−7.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
+18.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−0.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
+3.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−6.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 85-71
+3.5
19
vsBEL
BELL 58-84
−8.5
21
vsNDSU
NDSUW 74-73
+0.5
22
vsNORF
NORFW 89-70
+22.5
1
@CSUB
CSUBW 81-77
+14.5
3
@CSUF
CSUFW 86-64
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 74-64
−4.5
10
@HAW
HAWL 66-67
−7.5
17
@UCD
UCDL 72-75
−1.5
22
@UCR
UCRW 80-66
+3.5
over 7under 11avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
11-7
61% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vsHAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsCSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UCR | W 69-66 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 15 | vsCSUN | L 79-84 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 17 | @CSUB | W 83-62 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 22 | @UCD | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−7.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
−12.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
+12.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
10
@UCR
UCRW 69-66
−14.5
15
vsCSUN
CSUNL 79-84
+3.5
17
@CSUB
CSUBW 83-62
−2.5
22
@UCD
UCDW 80-74
+1.5
over 10under 8avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC Irvine
11-7 overall · 6-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UC Riverside80–66
- L@ UC Davis72–75
- L@ Hawai'i66–67
- Wvs Long Beach St74–64
- W@ Fullerton86–64
2 days since their last game.
UC San Diego
13-5 overall · 5-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UC Davis80–74
- W@ Bakersfield83–62
- Lvs CSU Northridge79–84
- W@ UC Riverside69–66
- Lvs Fullerton71–88
2 days since their last game.