LBS Financial Credit Union Pyramid · at Long Beach St · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -8.5✓ LBSU covered by 2.5
UCSD -8.5✓ LBSU covered by 2.5Closing total145.5Over by 8.5
| UCSD | This season | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 1-7 |
| 6-1 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 6-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 81–68 LBSU · ✓ UCSD (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 34 | 46 | 80 |
| LBSU | 30 | 44 | 74 |
1st half: UCSD 34, LBSU 30 (UCSD by 4). The model had UCSD by 7.5 and a total of 69.7 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UCSD | LBSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-50 52% | Field goals | 29-63 46% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 32 5 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 0 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Beath F | 33 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Tom Beattie G | 33 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Aidan Burke G | 29 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 7-8 | 4-5 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Chaikin G | 23 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Trap Johnson G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Jaden Vance, Tyson Dunn, Christopher Cox, Ryder Elisaldez, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks, Cade Pendleton
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Majstorovic F | 39 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| Gavin Sykes G | 36 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 7-18 | 1-7 |
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 28 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Cole Farrell G | 27 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Lewis G | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rob Diaz III G | 16 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| JJ Chaikovsky F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Shaquil Bender G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Derrick Michael Xzavierro F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Alexander, Leopold Levillain, Immanuel Lewis, Grant Gondrezick II, Dallas Washington
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -8.5
ModelUCSD -12.3
Model edgeUCSD +3.8
L LBSU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model148.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
UCSD 80.6 · LBSU 68.3
UCSD 80 · LBSU 74
Win probability
UCSD 86%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -7.5
UCSD -4.0
Total
69.7
64 points
Projected score
UCSD 38.6 · LBSU 31.1
UCSD 34 · LBSU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -10.5
2 → LBSU
CloseUCSD -8.5
2 pts toward LBSU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 3
Close145.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -440 · LBSU +340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -10.5 · closed UCSD -8.5 · moved 2 toward LBSUmodel UCSD -12.5
model UCSD -12.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 3 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSDlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% |
| LBSUlast 8 | 1-7 13% | 4-4 50% | 6-2 75% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCSD 4–4 LBSUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSD has won the last 2 meetings · UCSD 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | LBSU 63 @ UCSD 70 | UCSD -23.5 | LBSU W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | UCSD 80 @ LBSU 54 | LBSU +14.5 | UCSD W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | UCSD 76 @ LBSU 85 | LBSU +0.5 | LBSU W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | LBSU 74 @ UCSD 88 | UCSD -4.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | LBSU 112 @ UCSD 110 | UCSD +4.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
6-1
86% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
HCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@
FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vs
IDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vs
TEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vs
BRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vs
TOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@
NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
over 4under 3avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Long Beach St
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs MTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @ PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
over 6under 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada70–76
- Wvs Towson87–73
- Wvs Bradley87–77
- Wvs Temple91–76
- Wvs Idaho75–67
4 days since their last game.
Long Beach St
1-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Barbara77–84
- Wvs San Diego76–72
- L@ Portland73–93
- Lvs Montana St72–78
- Lvs Illinois St80–82
2 days since their last game.