Prather Coliseum · at N'Western St · Conference game
Closing line
SFA -8.5✓ SFA covered by 1.5
SFA -8.5✓ SFA covered by 1.5Closing total138.5Under by 0.5
| SFA | This season | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| 8-2 | Record | 1-9 |
| 8-2 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 3-7 | O/U | 8-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFA 74–67 NWST · ✓ SFA (73%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 37 | 37 | 74 |
| NWST | 31 | 33 | 64 |
1st half: SFA 37, NWST 31 (SFA by 6). The model had SFA by 4.4 and a total of 66.3 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SFA | NWST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-58 47% | Field goals | 22-53 42% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 42 12 off | Rebounds | 28 5 off |
| 13 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 37 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-17 | 2-9 |
| Keon Thompson G | 32 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 7-13 | 1-3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 26 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 21 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 18 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Eltramon Smith F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Christian Green G | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Scurry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryceson Melvin, Harris Dar, Yohan Gutierrez, Tichyque Musaka
| NWST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Mubiru G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Willie Williams F | 29 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Micah Thomas G | 27 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Izzy Miles G | 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Landyn Jumawan G | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omar Adegbola G | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Justin Redmond G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| CJ Larry G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| J.C. Riley Jr. F | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Moustapha Loum F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chip Brunt G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kordrick Turner F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seth Ned, Quentin Bolton
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSFA -8.5
ModelSFA -7.1
Model edgeNWST +1.4
L SFA covered
Total
Market138.5
Model141.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
SFA 74.3 · NWST 67.2
SFA 74 · NWST 64
Win probability
SFA 73%
1st half
Spread
SFA -4.4
SFA -6.0
Total
66.3
68 points
Projected score
SFA 35.3 · NWST 31
SFA 37 · NWST 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFA -8.5
no move
CloseSFA -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SFA -455 · NWST +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFA -8.5 · unchangedmodel SFA -7
model SFA -7
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| NWST | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SFA 3–2 NWSTSFA leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · SFA 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | SFA 70 @ NWST 68 | NWST -2.5 | SFA W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | NWST 57 @ SFA 54 | SFA -3.5 | NWST W |
| Nov 13, 2023-24 | SFA 96 @ NWST 70 | NWST +13.5 | SFA W |
| Dec 1, 2022-23 | NWST 102 @ SFA 96 | SFA -12.5 | NWST W |
| Nov 28, 2021-22 | SFA 72 @ NWST 68 | NWST +14 | NWST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SF Austin
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ARST | W 90-65 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICE | W 81-69 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ACU | W 76-66 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ FRES | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PEPP | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTA | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vs RGV | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs ULM | W 96-76 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs AMCC | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 29 | @ ETAM | W 75-48 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−3.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
+6.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+0.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
+2.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
+22.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−11.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
−10.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+29.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
−10.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
−23.5
over 3under 7avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
N'Western St
10 games played
Straight up
1-9
10% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-2
80% overs · avg +7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TA&M | L 68-98 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | @ UNT | L 53-80 | +11.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNA | L 83-87 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ SF | L 64-84 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 21 | @ GCU | L 72-85 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | vs SOU | L 73-75 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ MCN | L 54-92 | +19.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ SELA | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 133.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ CAL | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs LAM | L 61-76 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
−8.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−15.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+2.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
−3.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+5.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
−18.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+15.5
13
@CAL
CALL 70-79
+10.5
29
vsLAM
LAML 61-76
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
+12.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−4.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+27.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
+4.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+9.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+3.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
+6.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+10.5
13
@CAL
CALL 70-79
+3.5
29
vsLAM
LAML 61-76
−1.5
over 8under 2avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SF Austin
8-2 overall · 3-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ East Texas A&M75–48
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC69–60
- Wvs UL Monroe96–76
- Wvs UT Rio Grande73–60
- L@ UT Arlington61–66
2 days since their last game.
N'Western St
1-9 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lamar61–76
- L@ California70–79
- W@ SE Louisiana76–68
- L@ McNeese54–92
- Lvs Southern73–75
2 days since their last game.