J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome · at N Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
MONT -3.5✓ MONT covered by 22.5
MONT -3.5✓ MONT covered by 22.5Closing total146.5Over by 23.5
| MONT | This season | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | Record | 3-13 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 6-8 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONT 74–71 NAU · ✓ MONT (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 50 | 48 | 98 |
| NAU | 36 | 36 | 72 |
1st half: MONT 50, NAU 36 (MONT by 14). The model had MONT by 1.9 and a total of 67.7 (actual 86).
Team stats
| MONT | NAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-53 68% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 13-22 59% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 18 6 off |
| 20 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MONT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money Williams G | 33 | 25 | 4 | 6 | 8-12 | 2-5 |
| Tyler Thompson G | 29 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Grant Kepley G | 27 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Kenyon Aguino F | 26 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer F | 26 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 11-13 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Isaak G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Brooklyn Hicks G | 17 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Kadyn Betts F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Trae Taylor F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Connor Dick G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chase Henderson G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Amari Jedkins F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Moxon, Courtney Anderson Jr.
| NAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Komin G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Brennan Peterson G | 26 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Traivar Jackson F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Shaw F | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Arne Osojnik F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karl Poom F | 25 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-2 |
| Diego Campisano F | 20 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Oakland Fort G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Kavon Bradford G | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Erez Poran G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: JT Amundsen, Zack Davidson, Ryan Abelman, Walker Timme
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONT -3.5
ModelMONT -3.0
Model edgeNAU +0.5
L MONT covered
Total
Market146.5
Model144.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
L Over
Projected score
MONT 73.7 · NAU 70.7
MONT 98 · NAU 72
Win probability
MONT 60%
1st half
Spread
MONT -1.9
MONT -14.0
Total
67.7
86 points
Projected score
MONT 34.8 · NAU 32.9
MONT 50 · NAU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONT -4.5
1 → NAU
CloseMONT -3.5
1 pt toward NAU
Total
Open144.5
▲ 2
Close146.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MONT -175 · NAU +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONT -4.5 · closed MONT -3.5 · moved 1 toward NAUmodel MONT -3
model MONT -3
Opened 144.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| NAU | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
MONT 8–3 NAUMONT leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · MONT has won the last 6 meetings · MONT 6-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | NAU 64 @ MONT 78 | MONT -5.5 | MONT W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | NAU 65 vs MONT 74 | MONT -5.5 | MONT W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | MONT 83 @ NAU 80 | NAU +1.5 | MONT W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | NAU 76 @ MONT 81 | MONT -7.5 | NAU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | MONT 94 @ NAU 66 | NAU +5.5 | MONT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ STAN | L 68-91 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNLV | W 102-93 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 14 | vs CP | W 90-82 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | @ TA&M | L 81-86 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs LAM | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs OAK | L 87-95 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs NDSU | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UND | W 79-75 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 20 | @ LOU | L 54-94 | +30.5 | L −9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 1 | vsNAU | W 78-64 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNCO | W 88-79 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ IDHO | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ EWU | L 65-66 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ MTST | L 67-76 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
−10.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+19.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+0.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+12.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−9.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
−12.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−12.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−1.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−9.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
+8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+10.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
+10.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
+0.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
+8.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+37.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+3.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+2.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−17.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
+19.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−0.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−0.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−18.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
−7.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+5.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
−2.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
−30.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−7.5
over 6under 8avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Arizona
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DRKE | L 71-77 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARIZ | L 49-84 | +35.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 24 | vsCP | W 93-87 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs SEMO | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs SDST | L 62-75 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @NDSU | L 68-69 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ ASU | L 48-73 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ USD | L 69-78 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 18 | vs SUU | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 21 | @ UIW | L 66-90 | +6.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | @MONT | L 64-78 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | @MTST | L 68-77 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vs WEB | L 65-78 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs IDST | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 15 | @ SAC | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ PRST | L 52-63 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 115 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+2.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
+0.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+7.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
+4.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−10.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
+11.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−8.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−4.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
+2.5
21
@UIW
UIWL 66-90
−17.5
1
@MONT
MONTL 64-78
−8.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 68-77
+1.5
8
vsWEB
WEBL 65-78
−10.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTL 79-81
+2.5
15
@SAC
SACL 69-83
−12.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 52-63
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+3.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
−30.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+15.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
−2.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−11.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
−10.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−33.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−2.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
−28.5
21
@UIW
UIWL 66-90
+15.5
1
@MONT
MONTL 64-78
−7.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 68-77
+1.5
8
vsWEB
WEBL 65-78
−6.5
10
vsIDST
IDSTL 79-81
+20.5
15
@SAC
SACL 69-83
−1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 52-63
−25.5
over 5under 11avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana
6-8 overall · 3-2 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Montana St67–76
- L@ E Washington65–66
- W@ Idaho79–73
- Wvs N Colorado88–79
- Wvs N Arizona78–64
2 days since their last game.
N Arizona
3-13 overall · 0-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Portland St52–63
- L@ Sacramento St69–83
- Lvs Idaho St79–81
- Lvs Weber St65–78
- L@ Montana St68–77
2 days since their last game.