Show Me Center · at SE Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
SEMO -7.5✓ SEMO covered by 4.5
Closing total144.5Over by 7.5
| This season | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-11 | Record | 10-10 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MORE 71–78 SEMO · ✓ SEMO (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORE | 29 | 41 | 70 |
| SEMO | 43 | 39 | 82 |
1st half: MORE 29, SEMO 43 (SEMO by 14). The model had SEMO by 3.9 and a total of 69.6 (actual 72).
Team stats
| MORE | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 5-14 36% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| MORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Dawson G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| George Marshall G | 30 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Vince Dawson III G | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Anouar Mellouk F | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jon Carroll F | 19 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davion Cunningham G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Tamaury Releford C | 16 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Josiah LeGree G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Tyonne Farrell F | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Kameren Wright, Jacob Wilson, Jace Winkleman, Jarvis Wright, Jaden Priester, Clayton Parker
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward G | 34 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 7-13 | 3-5 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 32 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7-13 | 2-5 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 29 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Landren Blocker G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Brendan Terry F | 21 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Idada C | 15 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| PJ Farmer G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Marqueas Bell G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Saxton Hoepker, Jay Reynolds, Trace Sadler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEMO -7.5
ModelSEMO -6.8
Model edgeMORE +0.7
L SEMO covered
Total
Market144.5
Model148.7
Model edgeOver 4.2
W Over
Projected score
MORE 71 · SEMO 77.8
MORE 70 · SEMO 82
Win probability
SEMO 72%
1st half
Spread
SEMO -3.9
SEMO -14.0
Total
69.6
72 points
Projected score
MORE 32.9 · SEMO 36.8
MORE 29 · SEMO 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEMO -8.5
1 → MORE
CloseSEMO -7.5
1 pt toward MORE
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
MORE +285 · SEMO -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEMO -8.5 · closed SEMO -7.5 · moved 1 toward MOREmodel SEMO -7
model SEMO -7
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | |
| 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MORE 6–4 SEMOMORE leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MORE 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | SEMO 69 @ MORE 71 | MORE +5.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | SEMO 80 @ MORE 51 | MORE -3.5 | SEMO W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | MORE 67 @ SEMO 56 | SEMO -3.5 | MORE W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | SEMO 50 @ MORE 72 | MORE -18.5 | MORE W |
| Dec 31, 2023-24 | MORE 83 @ SEMO 64 | SEMO +8 | MORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Morehead St
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 65-81 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 81-120 | +28.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 56-83 | +29.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 62-77 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 83-80 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 181.5 | U 165 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 52-84 | +16.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 78-64 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 64-60 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 64-77 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 73-72 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 71-69 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 100-105 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 205 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 76-70 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 71-66 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 73-68 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 67-65 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 78-79 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
WAKE
L 65-81
+6.5
9
@
UGA
L 81-120
−10.5
11
@
CLEM
L 56-83
+2.5
21
@
ETSU
L 62-77
−4.5
22
vs
ULM
W 83-80
−3.5
29
@
IUIN
L 80-85
−1.5
2
@
MUR
L 52-84
−15.5
6
@
PRES
L 72-80
−0.5
16
vs
LR
W 78-64
+11.5
20
@
USI
W 64-60
+2.5
1
@
LIN
L 64-77
−6.5
3
@
SIUE
W 73-72
+5.5
8
vs
UTM
L 68-76
−5.5
10
vs
SEMO
W 71-69
+7.5
15
@
TNST
L 100-105
+2.5
17
@
TNTC
W 76-70
+7.5
22
vs
WIU
W 71-66
−3.5
24
vs
EIU
W 73-68
+0.5
29
vs
SIUE
W 67-65
+0.5
31
vs
LIN
L 78-79
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
WAKE
L 65-81
−6.5
9
@
UGA
L 81-120
+50.5
11
@
CLEM
L 56-83
−12.5
21
@
ETSU
L 62-77
−5.5
22
vs
ULM
W 83-80
+17.5
29
@
IUIN
L 80-85
−16.5
2
@
MUR
L 52-84
−22.5
6
@
PRES
L 72-80
+17.5
16
vs
LR
W 78-64
+5.5
20
@
USI
W 64-60
−21.5
1
@
LIN
L 64-77
−6.5
3
@
SIUE
W 73-72
+13.5
8
vs
UTM
L 68-76
+8.5
10
vs
SEMO
W 71-69
−4.5
15
@
TNST
L 100-105
+56.5
17
@
TNTC
W 76-70
+4.5
22
vs
WIU
W 71-66
−1.5
24
vs
EIU
W 73-68
+6.5
29
vs
SIUE
W 67-65
+1.5
31
vs
LIN
L 78-79
+8.5
over 11under 9avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
SE Missouri
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 67-92 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 84-89 | +25.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 72-84 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 70-99 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 84-68 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 77-88 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 74-70 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 74-85 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 91-82 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 68-59 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 73-50 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 84-76 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | vs | L 76-88 | -6.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 55-68 | -9.5 | L −22.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 66-50 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 70-65 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 78-74 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 77-59 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SLU
L 67-92
−5.5
7
@
MIZ
L 84-89
+20.5
15
vs
STMN
L 72-84
−9.5
18
@
IOWA
L 70-99
−5.5
25
vs
CP
W 84-68
+14.5
26
@
NAU
L 72-79
−4.5
29
vs
LIP
L 77-88
−14.5
6
@
UTC
W 74-70
+7.5
18
@
TNTC
L 74-85
−13.5
20
@
TNST
W 91-82
+7.5
1
vs
EIU
W 68-59
−3.5
3
vs
WIU
W 73-50
+9.5
8
@
USI
W 84-76
+0.5
10
@
MORE
L 69-71
−7.5
15
vs
LIN
L 76-88
−18.5
17
vs
SIUE
L 55-68
−22.5
20
vs
UTM
W 66-50
+13.5
22
vs
LR
W 70-65
−0.5
29
@
WIU
W 78-74
−6.5
31
@
EIU
W 77-59
+13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
SLU
L 67-92
+5.5
7
@
MIZ
L 84-89
+15.5
15
vs
STMN
L 72-84
+3.5
18
@
IOWA
L 70-99
+21.5
25
vs
CP
W 84-68
−18.5
26
@
NAU
L 72-79
−2.5
29
vs
LIP
L 77-88
+11.5
6
@
UTC
W 74-70
−5.5
18
@
TNTC
L 74-85
+3.5
20
@
TNST
W 91-82
+21.5
1
vs
EIU
W 68-59
−19.5
3
vs
WIU
W 73-50
−24.5
8
@
USI
W 84-76
+13.5
10
@
MORE
L 69-71
−4.5
15
vs
LIN
L 76-88
+9.5
17
vs
SIUE
L 55-68
−16.5
20
vs
UTM
W 66-50
−24.5
22
vs
LR
W 70-65
−10.5
29
@
WIU
W 78-74
+9.5
31
@
EIU
W 77-59
−2.5
over 10under 10avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Morehead St
9-11 overall · 8-4 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions78–79
- Wvs SIUE67–65
- Wvs E Illinois73–68
- Wvs W Illinois71–66
- W@ Tennessee Tech76–70
5 days since their last game.
SE Missouri
10-10 overall · 8-4 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Illinois77–59
- W@ W Illinois78–74
- Wvs Little Rock70–65
- Wvs UT Martin66–50
- Lvs SIUE55–68
5 days since their last game.