Lindenwood Lions at Eastern Illinois Panthers: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 6, 8:00 PM ETGroniger Arena · at E Illinois · Conference game

Final

Closing lineLIN -8.5✓ EIU covered by 0.5

Closing total145.5Over by 10.5

Season records: Lindenwood Lions and E Illinois
LIN	This season	EIU
3-4	Record	1-5
4-3	ATS	3-3
4-3	O/U	3-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: LIN 74–71 EIU · ✓ LIN (59%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
LIN	34	48	82
EIU	41	33	74

1st half: LIN 34, EIU 41 (EIU by 7). The model had LIN by 1.7 and a total of 67.8 (actual 75).

Team stats

LIN		EIU
30-61 49%	Field goals	29-69 42%
4-18 22%	3-pointers	3-9 33%
18-23 78%	Free throws	13-18 72%
41 13 off	Rebounds	35 14 off
14	Assists	15
9	Steals	9
10	Blocks	5
12	Turnovers	9
14	Fouls	19
48	Points in paint	44
23	Fast-break points	9

Players

LIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jadis Jones G	38	23	9	1	9-12	0-0
Dontrez Williams G	33	18	4	4	8-20	2-7
Anias Futrell G	31	15	5	1	6-12	1-5
Milos Nenadic C	29	11	6	0	3-7	0-1
Mekhi Cooper G	22	6	3	3	0-2	0-1
Bench
Clayton Jackson G	29	2	7	4	1-4	0-2
Robert Lewis F	11	4	2	0	2-2	0-0
Jeremiah Talton F	7	3	2	1	1-2	1-2

Did not play: Todd Bieg, Kevin Anthony, Daniel Kwon, William Campbell, Tidiane d'Almeida, Jalen Bouknight, Jaylon McDaniel

EIU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kooper Jacobi F	36	20	10	2	9-17	1-5
Meechie White G	34	13	7	6	5-13	0-0
Preston Turner G	25	5	0	1	2-6	1-2
Terry McMorris F	25	8	6	1	3-6	0-0
Nazareth Fisher F	19	0	3	1	0-1	0-0
Bench
Zion Fruster G	28	14	2	1	5-15	0-1
Malik Olafioye G	23	14	3	2	5-10	1-1
Andrew Austin F	10	0	0	1	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Prince Johnson, Shane Sims, Andre Washington, Markus Blackwell, JT Elder, Kyle Layton

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	LIN -8.5	LIN -2.6	EIU +5.9	W EIU covered
Total	145.5	144.8	Under 0.7	L Over
Projected score	—	LIN 73.7 · EIU 71.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LIN -1.7	EIU -7.0
1H total	67.8	75
1H projected score	LIN 34.8 · EIU 33.1	LIN 34 · EIU 41

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LIN WLWWW	4-3	57%	2-3	2-0
EIU WWLLL	3-3	50%	1-0	3-3

Venue/role: LIN away, as favorite; EIU home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
LIN OUUUO	4-3	57%	3-4
EIU UUOOO	3-3	50%	1-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LINlast 7	3-4 43%	4-3 57%	4-3 57%
EIUlast 6	1-5 17%	3-3 50%	3-3 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22

LIN 1–5 EIUEIU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · EIU has won the last 4 meetings · LIN 2-4 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 1, 2024-25	EIU 76 @ LIN 70	LIN -2.5	EIU W
Jan 2, 2024-25	LIN 74 @ EIU 78	EIU -2.5	EIU W
Feb 17, 2023-24	LIN 57 @ EIU 72	EIU -8.5	EIU W
Jan 20, 2023-24	EIU 78 @ LIN 68	LIN +1.5	EIU W
Feb 2, 2022-23	EIU 67 @ LIN 80	LIN -2.5	LIN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Lindenwood Lions

7 games played

Straight up

3-4

43% wins

Against the spread

4-3

57% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-3

57% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-443%

L L W L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-357%

L L W L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-357%

O O O U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@TTU	L 60-98	+29.5	L −8.5	146.5	O 158
Nov 10	@SLU	L 66-109	+24.5	L −18.5	165.5	O 175
Nov 14	vsCHSO	W 83-77	-2.5	W +3.5	155.5	O 160
Nov 16	@AAMU	L 65-74	+3.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 139
Nov 20	@IU	L 53-73	+32.5	W +12.5	155.5	U 126
Nov 24	vsKC	W 80-67	-4.5	W +8.5	152.5	U 147
Dec 2	@NIU	W 99-64	+3.5	W +38.5	147.5	O 163

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TTU

L 60-98

−8.5

SLU

L 66-109

−18.5

CHSO

W 83-77

+3.5

AAMU

L 65-74

−5.5

L 53-73

+12.5

W 80-67

+8.5

NIU

W 99-64

+38.5

covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TTU

L 60-98

+11.5

SLU

L 66-109

+9.5

CHSO

W 83-77

+4.5

AAMU

L 65-74

−10.5

L 53-73

−29.5

W 80-67

−5.5

NIU

W 99-64

+15.5

over 4under 3avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

E Illinois

6 games played

Straight up

1-5

17% wins

Against the spread

3-3

50% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-517%

L W L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-350%

W W W L L L

3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-350%

U U U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@VAL	L 63-66	+5.5	W +2.5	144.5	U 129
Nov 7	vsNICH	W 65-57	+2.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 122
Nov 11	@ND	L 58-78	+23.5	W +3.5	143.5	U 136
Nov 14	@UK	L 53-99	+35.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 152
Nov 25	@CARK	L 60-81	+5.5	L −15.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 28	@PUR	L 62-109	+40.5	L −6.5	141.5	O 171

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

VAL

L 63-66

+2.5

NICH

W 65-57

+10.5

L 58-78

+3.5

L 53-99

−10.5

CARK

L 60-81

−15.5

PUR

L 62-109

−6.5

covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

VAL

L 63-66

−15.5

NICH

W 65-57

−13.5

L 58-78

−7.5

L 53-99

+4.5

CARK

L 60-81

+1.5

PUR

L 62-109

+29.5

over 3under 3avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Lindenwood Lions @ E Illinois

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Lindenwood Lions

E Illinois

Lindenwood Lions

E Illinois