Prairie View A&M Panthers vs North Florida Ospreys: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 2:30 PM ETPensacola Bay Center · Neutral site

#343PVPrairie View85▲ winner

Final

Closing linePV -3.5✓ UNF covered by 0.5

Closing total160.5Over by 6.5

Season records: Prairie View and North Florida
PV	This season	UNF
0-4	Record	0-4
3-1	ATS	4-0
1-3	O/U	3-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: PV 82–83 UNF · ✗ UNF (53%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
PV	32	53	85
UNF	44	38	82

1st half: PV 32, UNF 44 (UNF by 12). The model had UNF by 0.3 and a total of 77.3 (actual 76).

Team stats

PV		UNF
28-70 40%	Field goals	27-49 55%
6-23 26%	3-pointers	12-26 46%
23-33 70%	Free throws	16-22 73%
36 21 off	Rebounds	35 9 off
10	Assists	16
14	Steals	3
5	Blocks	3
10	Turnovers	21
20	Fouls	28
42	Points in paint	28
18	Fast-break points	11

Players

PV	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Keeshawn Mason F	39	15	12	0	4-8	1-2
Tai'Reon Joseph G	35	25	3	2	8-21	1-7
Dontae Horne G	29	22	5	1	9-15	1-5
Cory Wells F	26	11	1	2	3-9	2-4
Lance Williams G	25	6	2	3	1-7	1-5
Bench
Jannoy Thomas G	31	6	7	2	3-7	0-0
Marcel Bryant F	7	0	1	0	0-2	0-0
Corey Dunning F	6	0	2	0	0-1	0-0
Hassane Diallo F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ryan Bolton Jr., Seryee Lewis, Isaiah Foster, Doug Young, Joey Madimba, Elijah Mitchell

UNF	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kamrin Oriol G	35	20	2	7	5-8	3-4
Kent Jackson G	33	14	5	5	6-10	2-6
Dalton Gayman F	30	8	6	3	3-8	2-5
Mason Lee G	26	15	8	0	4-5	3-4
Devin Hines G	25	11	2	0	3-6	0-0
Bench
BJ Plummer G	20	5	2	1	2-4	1-3
Trey Cady G	15	9	4	0	4-6	1-2
Dante Oliver G	10	0	3	0	0-2	0-2
Taylor Thompson G	4	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Nestor Dyachok F	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Arden Begaj, Alex Vargo, Mason Watkins, Gabe Jacobs

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	PV -3.5	UNF -0.7	UNF +4.2	W UNF covered
Total	160.5	165.1	Over 4.6	W Over
Projected score	—	PV 82.2 · UNF 82.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UNF -0.3	UNF -12.0
1H total	77.3	76
1H projected score	PV 38.5 · UNF 38.8	PV 32 · UNF 44

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
PV LWWW	3-1	75%	1-0	—
UNF WWWW	4-0	100%	1-0	4-0

Venue/role: PV neutral site, as favorite; UNF neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
PV OUUU	1-3	25%	0-4
UNF UOOO	3-1	75%	0-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PVlast 4	0-4 0%	3-1 75%	1-3 25%
UNFlast 4	0-4 0%	4-0 100%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Prairie View

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

3-1

75% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-3

25% overs · avg −4.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-175%

L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-325%

O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@WICH	L 62-105	+20.5	L −22.5	156.5	O 167
Nov 12	@OKST	L 67-94	+30.5	W +3.5	168.5	U 161
Nov 17	@MIZ	L 73-91	+35.5	W +17.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 22	vsUTM	L 68-69	+10.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

−22.5

OKST

L 67-94

+3.5

MIZ

L 73-91

+17.5

UTM

L 68-69

+9.5

covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

+10.5

OKST

L 67-94

−7.5

MIZ

L 73-91

−2.5

UTM

L 68-69

−18.5

over 1under 3avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

North Florida

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

4-0

100% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-0100%

W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-175%

U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 6	@FLA	L 64-104	+43.5	W +3.5	169.5	U 168
Nov 12	@TENN	L 66-99	+41.5	W +8.5	155.5	O 165
Nov 19	@WOF	L 78-86	+10.5	W +2.5	161.5	O 164
Nov 22	vsUSM	L 83-92	+9.5	W +0.5	154.5	O 175

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FLA

L 64-104

+3.5

TENN

L 66-99

+8.5

WOF

L 78-86

+2.5

USM

L 83-92

+0.5

covered 4didn’t cover 0avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FLA

L 64-104

−1.5

TENN

L 66-99

+9.5

WOF

L 78-86

+2.5

USM

L 83-92

+20.5

over 3under 1avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Prairie View vs North Florida

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Prairie View

North Florida

Prairie View

North Florida