State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
UCSD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 12.5
UCSD -1.5✓ UCSD covered by 12.5Closing total138.5Over by 21.5
 TOW | This season | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 5-0 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 5-0 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOW 68–71 UCSD · ✓ UCSD (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOW | 31 | 42 | 73 |
| UCSD | 50 | 37 | 87 |
1st half: TOW 31, UCSD 50 (UCSD by 19). The model had UCSD by 1.4 and a total of 65.0 (actual 81).
Team stats
| TOW | UCSD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-65 38% | Field goals | 32-53 60% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 16-25 64% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 7-15 47% |
| 36 16 off | Rebounds | 30 5 off |
| 7 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| TOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tejada F | 37 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 10-19 | 2-5 |
| Dylan Williamson G | 37 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 7-20 | 6-14 |
| Tyler Schmidt G | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Chike Ndefo G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Embeya F | 14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Coleman F | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Doumbia Jr. F | 19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Jaquan Womack G | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Conway G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mor Seck C | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Cole G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ryan Skerry G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Holmes, Jon Barton, Abdou Samb
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Leo Beath F | 33 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-3 |
| Aidan Burke G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 4-5 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hudson Mayes G | 19 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Alex Chaikin G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Trap Johnson G | 17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Cade Pendleton F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christopher Cox, Jaden Vance, Tyson Dunn, Ryder Elisaldez, Yaqub Mir, Jasen Brooks
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -1.5
ModelUCSD -2.6
Model edgeUCSD +1.1
W UCSD covered
Total
Market138.5
Model138.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
W Over
Projected score
TOW 68 · UCSD 70.6
TOW 73 · UCSD 87
Win probability
UCSD 59%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -1.4
UCSD -19.0
Total
65.0
81 points
Projected score
TOW 31.8 · UCSD 33.2
TOW 31 · UCSD 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -2.5
1 → TOW
CloseUCSD -1.5
1 pt toward TOW
Total
Open138.5
no move
Close138.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TOW +114 · UCSD -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -2.5 · closed UCSD -1.5 · moved 1 toward TOWmodel UCSD -2.5
model UCSD -2.5
Opened 138.5 · unchangedmodel 138.5 matches the line
model 138.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOWlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| UCSDlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Towson
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 67-56
+2.5
8
@
HOU
HOUL 48-65
+9.5
14
vs
NORF
NORFW 51-41
−3.5
18
@
JMU
JMUL 75-81
−9.5
24
vs
URI
URIW 62-55
+9.5
25
vs
LIB
LIBW 72-69
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsL-MD
L-MDW 67-56
−18.5
8
@HOU
HOUL 48-65
−17.5
14
vsNORF
NORFW 51-41
−46.5
18
@JMU
JMUL 75-81
+15.5
24
vsURI
URIW 62-55
−23.5
25
vsLIB
LIBW 72-69
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC San Diego
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-0
100% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
HCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@
FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vs
IDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vs
TEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vs
BRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
over 3under 2avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Towson
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Liberty72–69
- Wvs Rhode Island62–55
- L@ James Madison75–81
- Wvs Norfolk St51–41
- L@ Houston48–65
1 day since their last game.
UC San Diego
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bradley87–77
- Wvs Temple91–76
- Wvs Idaho75–67
- W@ Fresno St78–73
- Wvs Hou Christian78–60
1 day since their last game.