Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -4.5✓ PAC covered by 26.5
PAC -4.5✓ PAC covered by 26.5Closing total137.5Under by 0.5
 ORST | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 7-6 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORST 69–73 PAC · ✓ PAC (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | 34 | 19 | 53 |
| PAC | 49 | 35 | 84 |
1st half: ORST 34, PAC 49 (PAC by 15). The model had PAC by 2.2 and a total of 66.8 (actual 83).
Team stats
| ORST | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-53 36% | Field goals | 27-50 54% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 12-23 52% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 25 7 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ORST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez White G | 31 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Johan Munch F | 28 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Sy G | 26 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jorge Diaz-Graham F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Lake II G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keziah Ekissi G | 22 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Matija Samar G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Olavi Suutela F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Noah Amenhauser C | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Yaak Yaak C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Daisean Williford F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Malcolm Christie, Kaan Yarkut, Stephen Olowoniyi, Gavin Marrs
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Clayton G | 27 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 5-6 | 3-3 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 26 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 24 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 5-6 |
| Elias Ralph F | 23 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Isaac Jack F | 23 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kajus Kublickas G | 22 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 17 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Augustas Brazdeikis, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana, Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -4.5
ModelPAC -3.9
Model edgeORST +0.6
L PAC covered
Total
Market137.5
Model142.5
Model edgeOver 5.0
L Under
Projected score
ORST 69.3 · PAC 73.2
ORST 53 · PAC 84
Win probability
PAC 63%
1st half
Spread
PAC -2.2
PAC -15.0
Total
66.8
83 points
Projected score
ORST 32.3 · PAC 34.5
ORST 34 · PAC 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -4.5
no move
ClosePAC -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 5
Close137.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
ORST +180 · PAC -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -4.5 · unchangedmodel PAC -4
model PAC -4
Opened 142.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 5 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| PAC | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORST 2–0 PACORST leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · ORST has won the last 2 meetings · ORST 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | PAC 65 @ ORST 79 | ORST -13.5 | ORST W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | ORST 91 @ PAC 55 | PAC +9.5 | ORST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon St
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NDSU | W 67-65 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 7 | vs UIC | W 76-73 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNT | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 17 | @ ORE | L 75-87 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs EVAN | L 69-73 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs IONA | L 84-91 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs MASS | L 65-73 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 29 | vs CBU | L 69-75 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVM | W 80-58 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs SUU | W 81-70 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 13 | vs MTST | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 17 | vs SHSU | L 75-85 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ ASU | W 78-75 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 28 | vs SCU | L 64-102 | +7.5 | L −30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 30 | vs SF | W 70-62 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−7.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
−3.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−1.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+1.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
−10.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
−10.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
−7.5
3
vsUVM
UVMW 80-58
+18.5
6
vsSUU
SUUW 81-70
+0.5
13
vsMTST
MTSTW 67-57
+8.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 75-85
−13.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 78-75
+15.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 64-102
−30.5
30
vsSF
SFW 70-62
+12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNDSU
NDSUW 67-65
−12.5
7
vsUIC
UICW 76-73
+2.5
12
vsUNT
UNTW 66-64
−4.5
17
@ORE
OREL 75-87
+20.5
21
vsEVAN
EVANL 69-73
+5.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 84-91
+17.5
24
vsMASS
MASSL 65-73
−11.5
29
vsCBU
CBUL 69-75
+6.5
3
vsUVM
UVMW 80-58
−5.5
6
vsSUU
SUUW 81-70
+4.5
13
vsMTST
MTSTW 67-57
−16.5
17
vsSHSU
SHSUL 75-85
+6.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 78-75
+5.5
28
vsSCU
SCUL 64-102
+15.5
30
vsSF
SFW 70-62
−12.5
over 9under 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
over 5under 8avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon St
8-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Francisco70–62
- Lvs Santa Clara64–102
- W@ Arizona St78–75
- Lvs Sam Houston75–85
- Wvs Montana St67–57
3 days since their last game.
Pacific
7-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ LMU71–80
- L@ San Diego54–66
- Wvs Nicholls95–82
- L@ BYU57–93
- L@ California61–67
3 days since their last game.