Save Mart Center · at Fresno St
Closing line
SFA -2.5✓ FRES covered by 4.5
SFA -2.5✓ FRES covered by 4.5Closing total146.5Over by 11.5
| SFA | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 2-2 |
| 3-0 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFA 73–73 FRES · ✗ SFA (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 42 | 36 | 78 |
| FRES | 39 | 41 | 80 |
1st half: SFA 42, FRES 39 (SFA by 3). The model had SFA by 0.4 and a total of 68.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| SFA | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-73 45% | Field goals | 32-54 59% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 5-12 42% |
| 3-6 50% | Free throws | 11-19 58% |
| 38 19 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson G | 33 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 5-16 | 1-4 |
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 33 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 11-21 | 4-12 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 29 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 25 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 30 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Scurry G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Christian Green G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eltramon Smith, Yohan Gutierrez, Harris Dar, Bryceson Melvin, Tichyque Musaka
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Zaon Collins G | 35 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Cameron Faas G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Stickman G | 24 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 23 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jac Mani F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| David Douglas Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nathan Zulemie, Matteo Porto, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Troy Jenkins, Makhan Diouf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSFA -2.5
ModelSFA -0.5
Model edgeFRES +2.0
W FRES covered
Total
Market146.5
Model145.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
SFA 73.1 · FRES 72.6
SFA 78 · FRES 80
Win probability
SFA 52%
1st half
Spread
SFA -0.4
SFA -3.0
Total
68.3
81 points
Projected score
SFA 34.4 · FRES 33.9
SFA 42 · FRES 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFA -2.5
no move
CloseSFA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SFA -145 · FRES +125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFA -2.5 · unchangedmodel SFA -0.5
model SFA -0.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFAlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% |
| FRESlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SF Austin
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
ARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@
RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vs
ACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
over 1under 2avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
UPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vs
UCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vs
UVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
over 2under 2avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SF Austin
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn76–66
- W@ Rice81–69
- Wvs Arkansas St90–65
4 days since their last game.
Fresno St
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah Valley75–74
- Lvs UC San Diego73–78
- Wvs Long Beach St82–62
- Lvs SC Upstate66–67
3 days since their last game.