Robins Center · at Richmond · Conference game
Closing line
GW -2.5✓ GW covered by 11.5
GW -2.5✓ GW covered by 11.5Closing total162.5Over by 21.5
| GW | This season | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 9-3 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GW 81–78 RICH · ✓ GW (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 49 | 50 | 99 |
| RICH | 38 | 47 | 85 |
1st half: GW 49, RICH 38 (GW by 11). The model had GW by 1.7 and a total of 74.3 (actual 87).
Team stats
| GW | RICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-58 59% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 17-33 52% | 3-pointers | 12-28 43% |
| 14-15 93% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 26 10 off |
| 21 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Autry G | 35 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 8-11 | 6-9 |
| Rafael Castro F | 30 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 10-12 | 0-0 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Christian Jones G | 19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Dinkins G | 31 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 7-12 | 6-11 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Luke Hunger F | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Ty Bevins G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Mohamed Binzagr, Amir Arrington, Vincent Chaudhri, Garrett Johnson, Trey Moss
| RICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston G | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 6-13 | 5-10 |
| AJ Lopez G | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Mikkel Tyne G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 22 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 9-11 | 2-2 |
| Mike Walz C | 19 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aiden Argabright G | 19 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Collin Tanner G | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jonathan Beagle F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| David Thomas G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Robinson F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Harper III G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Donovan Richardson, Bryson McGlothin, Dylan Homenick, Kirby Mooney
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGW -2.5
no move
CloseGW -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
no move
Close162.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
GW -142 · RICH +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GW -2.5 · unchangedmodel GW -2.5 matches the line
model GW -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 162.5 · unchangedmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GW -2.5 | GW -2.6 | GW +0.1 | W GW covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 158.8 | Under 3.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | GW 80.7 · RICH 78.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GW -1.7 | GW -11.0 |
| 1H total | 74.3 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | GW 38 · RICH 36.3 | GW 49 · RICH 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| RICH | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
GW 2–5 RICHRICH leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · GW 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | RICH 66 @ GW 75 | GW -8.5 | GW W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | GW 61 @ RICH 66 | RICH +2.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | RICH 90 @ GW 74 | GW +5.5 | RICH W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | GW 74 @ RICH 82 | RICH -7.5 | RICH W |
| Feb 8, 2022-23 | RICH 105 @ GW 107 | GW -0.5 | GW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
G Washington
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 8 | vs USF | W 99-95 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs AMER | W 107-67 | -17.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs ODU | W 96-73 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | vs UMBC | W 89-52 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | vs MCN | L 86-92 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs MTSU | W 92-79 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MUR | L 95-96 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARMY | W 84-70 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs W&M | W 99-86 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 10 | vs DEL | L 58-70 | -21.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs FLA | L 70-80 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+5.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+7.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
+14.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
−11.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+3.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
−8.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−5.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
−0.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−33.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
8
vsUSF
USFW 99-95
+34.5
12
vsAMER
AMERW 107-67
+22.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 96-73
+13.5
19
vsUMBC
UMBCW 89-52
−19.5
23
vsMCN
MCNL 86-92
+20.5
24
vsMTSU
MTSUW 92-79
+12.5
25
vsMUR
MURL 95-96
+23.5
2
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-70
−2.5
6
vsW&M
W&MW 99-86
+10.5
10
vsDEL
DELL 58-70
−24.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 70-80
−12.5
over 7under 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Richmond
12 games played
Straight up
9-3
75% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ECU | W 87-72 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vsW&M | W 90-86 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 19 | vs VMI | W 87-54 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs GWEB | W 102-67 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs FUR | L 72-73 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLT | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ BEL | W 84-76 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 6 | vsODU | W 86-77 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 13 | vs SIU | W 93-84 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 17 | @ ELON | L 70-73 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs CIT | W 80-56 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 28 | vs CHSO | L 72-77 | -11.5 | L −16.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+9.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
−5.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
+18.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+15.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−4.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−1.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+14.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
−3.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+5.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−6.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
+5.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−16.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsECU
ECUW 87-72
+15.5
11
vsW&M
W&MW 90-86
+11.5
19
vsVMI
VMIW 87-54
−11.5
22
vsGWEB
GWEBW 102-67
+14.5
27
vsFUR
FURL 72-73
−2.5
28
vsCLT
CLTW 71-66
−4.5
3
@BEL
BELW 84-76
+3.5
6
vsODU
ODUW 86-77
+9.5
13
vsSIU
SIUW 93-84
+23.5
17
@ELON
ELONL 70-73
−18.5
20
vsCIT
CITW 80-56
−10.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOL 72-77
−10.5
over 6under 6avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
G Washington
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida70–80
- Lvs Delaware58–70
- Wvs William & Mary99–86
- W@ Army84–70
- Lvs Murray St95–96
A week or more of rest.
Richmond
9-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Charleston So72–77
- Wvs The Citadel80–56
- L@ Elon70–73
- Wvs S Illinois93–84
- Wvs Old Dominion86–77
3 days since their last game.