Kennesaw State Owls vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 25, 4:30 PM ETAlico Arena · Neutral site

Final

#305ORUOral Roberts91▲ winner

Closing lineKENN -8.5✓ ORU covered by 16.5

Closing total166.5Over by 7.5

Season records: Kennesaw St and Oral Roberts
KENN	This season	ORU
2-1	Record	0-5
2-1	ATS	3-2
2-1	O/U	3-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: KENN 89–79 ORU · ✗ KENN (80%) lost

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
KENN	34	49	83
ORU	37	54	91

1st half: KENN 34, ORU 37 (ORU by 3). The model had KENN by 6.0 and a total of 78.9 (actual 71).

Team stats

KENN		ORU
27-59 46%	Field goals	27-48 56%
6-20 30%	3-pointers	13-21 62%
23-35 66%	Free throws	24-28 86%
32 13 off	Rebounds	30 4 off
7	Assists	10
11	Steals	7
4	Blocks	3
15	Turnovers	20
26	Fouls	24
34	Points in paint	26
8	Fast-break points	17

Players

KENN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Kaden Rickard G	28	14	2	1	4-7	1-3
Braedan Lue F	27	17	9	2	6-10	0-1
Simeon Cottle G	21	15	2	1	4-7	3-5
Perry Smith Jr. C	21	5	3	1	2-3	0-0
Ramone Seals F	17	3	4	0	1-4	1-2
Bench
Frankquon Sherman F	26	9	5	0	2-7	1-3
RJ Johnson G	25	7	4	0	3-12	0-4
Darius Washington III G	24	10	1	2	4-8	0-2
Trey Simpson F	6	2	0	0	1-1	0-0
Amir Taylor F	5	1	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Brendan Tousignaut, Nigel Thomas, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Jaden Harris, Davin Cosby Jr., Eric Holland, Charles Stone, Chase Clemmons

ORU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Ofri Naveh F	36	12	4	2	4-6	0-1
Connor Dow G	35	22	3	2	8-12	5-7
Ty Harper G	29	22	5	2	6-12	4-7
Jack Turner G	26	13	2	2	4-6	3-4
Luke Gray F	12	3	4	0	0-2	0-0
Bench
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams F	17	9	3	1	3-5	1-1
Chase Martin G	14	4	1	0	1-2	0-0
Martins Kilups G	12	0	1	0	0-1	0-1
Baron Smith Jr. C	11	4	1	1	1-2	0-0
Cal Furnish G	8	2	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Lane Sparks, Laymen McGrady, Alex Couto, Aaron Jacob

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	KENN -8.5	KENN -9.6	KENN +1.1	L ORU covered
Total	166.5	168.4	Over 1.9	W Over
Projected score	—	KENN 89 · ORU 79.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	KENN -6.0	ORU -3.0
1H total	78.9	71
1H projected score	KENN 42.4 · ORU 36.4	KENN 34 · ORU 37

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
KENN WLW	2-1	67%	1-0	2-0
ORU LWLWW	3-2	60%	—	3-2

Venue/role: KENN neutral site, as favorite; ORU neutral site, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN UOO	2-1	67%	2-1
ORU OOUUO	3-2	60%	0-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENNlast 3	2-1 67%	2-1 67%	2-1 67%
ORUlast 5	0-5 0%	3-2 60%	3-2 60%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Kennesaw St

3 games played

Straight up

2-1

67% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-1

67% overs · avg +10.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-167%

W L W

2 of 3 wonno streak

Against the spread

2-167%

W L W

2 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

2-167%

U O O

2 straight overs2 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@FAMU	W 92-72	-11.5	W +8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 16	vsUSF	L 89-108	+7.5	L −11.5	177.5	O 197
Nov 24	vsRICE	W 89-84	-4.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 173

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

+8.5

USF

L 89-108

−11.5

RICE

W 89-84

+0.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

−2.5

USF

L 89-108

+19.5

RICE

W 89-84

+13.5

over 2under 1avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Oral Roberts

5 games played

Straight up

0-5

0% wins

Against the spread

3-2

60% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-50%

L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-260%

L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-260%

O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@OKST	L 71-95	+20.5	L −3.5	165.5	O 166
Nov 12	vsTLSA	L 87-88	+5.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 175
Nov 15	vsBEL	L 60-83	+7.5	L −15.5	171.5	U 143
Nov 20	@OU	L 71-95	+24.5	W +0.5	166.5	U 166
Nov 24	@FGCU	L 88-93	+11.5	W +6.5	153.5	O 181

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

−3.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+4.5

BEL

L 60-83

−15.5

L 71-95

+0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+6.5

covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

OKST

L 71-95

+0.5

TLSA

L 87-88

+14.5

BEL

L 60-83

−28.5

L 71-95

−0.5

FGCU

L 88-93

+27.5

over 3under 2avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Kennesaw St vs Oral Roberts

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Kennesaw St

Oral Roberts

Kennesaw St

Oral Roberts