Save Mart Center · at Fresno St
Closing line
FRES -9.5✓ UPST covered by 10.5
FRES -9.5✓ UPST covered by 10.5Closing total164.5Under by 31.5
 UPST | This season | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 75–84 FRES · ✗ FRES (78%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 25 | 42 | 67 |
| FRES | 36 | 30 | 66 |
1st half: UPST 25, FRES 36 (FRES by 11). The model had FRES by 5.2 and a total of 74.2 (actual 61).
Team stats
| UPST | FRES | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-50 50% | Field goals | 22-62 35% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 7-30 23% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 38 9 off | Rebounds | 35 14 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Smith G | 34 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 29 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Coen Collier C | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Learic Davis F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 30 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 19 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kanye Jones G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: CJ Rich, TJ Lewis, Chico Johnson, Nic Book
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-13 | 3-10 |
| Zaon Collins G | 32 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 8-14 | 0-3 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 19 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Makhan Diouf F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jac Mani F | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Cameron Faas G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| DJ Stickman G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Nathan Zulemie, Matteo Porto, David Douglas Jr., Troy Jenkins
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFRES -9.5
ModelFRES -8.9
Model edgeUPST +0.6
W UPST covered
Total
Market164.5
Model158.6
Model edgeUnder 5.9
W Under
Projected score
UPST 74.9 · FRES 83.7
UPST 67 · FRES 66
Win probability
FRES 78%
1st half
Spread
FRES -5.2
FRES -11.0
Total
74.2
61 points
Projected score
UPST 34.5 · FRES 39.7
UPST 25 · FRES 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFRES -10.5
1 → UPST
CloseFRES -9.5
1 pt toward UPST
Total
Open163.5
▲ 1
Close164.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +425 · FRES -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FRES -10.5 · closed FRES -9.5 · moved 1 toward UPSTmodel FRES -9
model FRES -9
Opened 163.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| FRES | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
29 games played
Straight up
3-26
10% wins
Against the spread
12-17
41% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-12
59% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NCSU | L 66-97 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 8 | @ VT | L 74-93 | +23.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 13 | @ WAKE | L 80-85 | +29.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNCW | L 85-89 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ ETSU | L 76-87 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUC | L 74-98 | +3.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 26 | @ IOWA | L 77-110 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 168.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 30 | @ CCU | L 51-73 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 7 | @ WCU | W 74-68 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | @ SC | L 53-73 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 18 | vs SCST | L 70-85 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 21 | vs YSU | L 64-72 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ WIN | L 76-95 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 8 | vs PRES | W 77-67 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 11 | vs RAD | L 67-80 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCA | L 92-93 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 18 | @ GWEB | L 68-97 | +7.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | vs HPU | L 77-86 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 25 | @ LONG | L 54-80 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 157.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 29 | vs CHSO | L 75-82 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 1 | @RAD | L 69-79 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 5 | @PRES | L 64-75 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 8 | vsWIN | L 95-105 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 12 | vsUNCA | L 85-92 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 15 | vsGWEB | L 87-96 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 22 | @CHSO | W 79-69 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 26 | @HPU | L 66-88 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 154 |
| Mar 1 | vsLONG | L 66-83 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 5 | vsGWEB | L 63-83 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-97
−6.5
8
@VT
VTL 74-93
+4.5
13
@WAKE
WAKEL 80-85
+24.5
15
vsUNCW
UNCWL 85-89
+5.5
22
@ETSU
ETSUL 76-87
+0.5
23
vsQUC
QUCL 74-98
−20.5
26
@IOWA
IOWAL 77-110
−4.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 51-73
−15.5
7
@WCU
WCUW 74-68
+14.5
14
@SC
SCL 53-73
+3.5
18
vsSCST
SCSTL 70-85
−12.5
21
vsYSU
YSUL 64-72
−0.5
2
@WIN
WINL 76-95
−4.5
8
vsPRES
PRESW 77-67
+13.5
11
vsRAD
RADL 67-80
−7.5
15
@UNCA
UNCAL 92-93
+10.5
18
@GWEB
GWEBL 68-97
−21.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 77-86
+5.5
25
@LONG
LONGL 54-80
−14.5
29
vsCHSO
CHSOL 75-82
−4.5
1
@RAD
RADL 69-79
+2.5
5
@PRES
PRESL 64-75
−4.5
8
vsWIN
WINL 95-105
−1.5
12
vsUNCA
UNCAL 85-92
+2.5
15
vsGWEB
GWEBL 87-96
−4.5
22
@CHSO
CHSOW 79-69
+15.5
26
@HPU
HPUL 66-88
−1.5
1
vsLONG
LONGL 66-83
−9.5
5
vsGWEB
GWEBL 63-83
−13.5
covered 12didn’t cover 17avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-97
+15.5
8
@VT
VTL 74-93
+16.5
13
@WAKE
WAKEL 80-85
+12.5
15
vsUNCW
UNCWL 85-89
+17.5
22
@ETSU
ETSUL 76-87
+10.5
23
vsQUC
QUCL 74-98
+14.5
26
@IOWA
IOWAL 77-110
+18.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 51-73
−23.5
7
@WCU
WCUW 74-68
−19.5
14
@SC
SCL 53-73
−24.5
18
vsSCST
SCSTL 70-85
+1.5
21
vsYSU
YSUL 64-72
−14.5
2
@WIN
WINL 76-95
+5.5
8
vsPRES
PRESW 77-67
−4.5
11
vsRAD
RADL 67-80
−0.5
15
@UNCA
UNCAL 92-93
+22.5
18
@GWEB
GWEBL 68-97
+6.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 77-86
+1.5
25
@LONG
LONGL 54-80
−23.5
29
vsCHSO
CHSOL 75-82
+4.5
1
@RAD
RADL 69-79
+0.5
5
@PRES
PRESL 64-75
−9.5
8
vsWIN
WINL 95-105
+36.5
12
vsUNCA
UNCAL 85-92
+14.5
15
vsGWEB
GWEBL 87-96
+19.5
22
@CHSO
CHSOW 79-69
−10.5
26
@HPU
HPUL 66-88
−9.5
1
vsLONG
LONGL 66-83
−12.5
5
vsGWEB
GWEBL 63-83
−11.5
over 17under 12avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fresno St
32 games played
Straight up
6-26
19% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-14
56% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SAC | W 64-57 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 13 | @ UCSB | L 86-91 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUB | L 56-74 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs PV | W 94-83 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 23 | @ LBSU | W 72-69 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs WSU | L 73-84 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 27 | vs CBU | L 81-86 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 4 | vs SDSU | L 62-84 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ SCU | L 66-81 | +16.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ BYU | L 67-95 | +25.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs USD | W 73-65 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 21 | vsCBU | L 69-86 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 28 | @ UNLV | L 77-87 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | vs UNM | L 89-103 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 4 | @ USU | L 83-89 | +23.5 | W +17.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 7 | @ CSU | L 64-91 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 11 | vs NEV | L 66-77 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | vs AF | W 74-65 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 20 | @UNM | L 67-95 | +21.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 25 | vsCSU | L 64-69 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 28 | @ WYO | L 72-83 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 1 | @ BOIS | L 60-82 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 4 | vs SJSU | L 91-94 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 7 | vsUSU | L 81-89 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 10 | @NEV | L 69-94 | +15.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 15 | vsUNLV | L 51-52 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 103 |
| Feb 18 | @SDSU | L 60-83 | +18.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 22 | @AF | L 69-72 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 1 | vsBOIS | L 61-66 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 4 | vsWYO | W 62-58 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 120 |
| Mar 8 | @SJSU | L 68-92 | +6.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Mar 12 | vsNEV | L 71-86 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSAC
SACW 64-57
−0.5
13
@UCSB
UCSBL 86-91
+7.5
16
@CSUB
CSUBL 56-74
−16.5
20
vsPV
PVW 94-83
−3.5
23
@LBSU
LBSUW 72-69
+6.5
26
vsWSU
WSUL 73-84
+0.5
27
vsCBU
CBUL 81-86
+1.5
4
vsSDSU
SDSUL 62-84
−8.5
7
@SCU
SCUL 66-81
+1.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 67-95
−2.5
14
vsUSD
USDW 73-65
+2.5
21
vsCBU
CBUL 69-86
−13.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 77-87
+5.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 89-103
+1.5
4
@USU
USUL 83-89
+17.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 64-91
−11.5
11
vsNEV
NEVL 66-77
+1.5
17
vsAF
AFW 74-65
+5.5
20
@UNM
UNML 67-95
−6.5
25
vsCSU
CSUL 64-69
+6.5
28
@WYO
WYOL 72-83
−2.5
1
@BOIS
BOISL 60-82
−2.5
4
vsSJSU
SJSUL 91-94
+0.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 81-89
+5.5
10
@NEV
NEVL 69-94
−9.5
15
vsUNLV
UNLVL 51-52
+7.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUL 60-83
−4.5
22
@AF
AFL 69-72
+1.5
1
vsBOIS
BOISL 61-66
+11.5
4
vsWYO
WYOW 62-58
+5.5
8
@SJSU
SJSUL 68-92
−17.5
12
vsNEV
NEVL 71-86
−2.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSAC
SACW 64-57
−38.5
13
@UCSB
UCSBL 86-91
+25.5
16
@CSUB
CSUBL 56-74
−18.5
20
vsPV
PVW 94-83
+21.5
23
@LBSU
LBSUW 72-69
+0.5
26
vsWSU
WSUL 73-84
−3.5
27
vsCBU
CBUL 81-86
+14.5
4
vsSDSU
SDSUL 62-84
+3.5
7
@SCU
SCUL 66-81
−9.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 67-95
+3.5
14
vsUSD
USDW 73-65
−15.5
21
vsCBU
CBUL 69-86
+3.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 77-87
+18.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 89-103
+31.5
4
@USU
USUL 83-89
+14.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 64-91
+4.5
11
vsNEV
NEVL 66-77
−4.5
17
vsAF
AFW 74-65
−3.5
20
@UNM
UNML 67-95
+1.5
25
vsCSU
CSUL 64-69
−14.5
28
@WYO
WYOL 72-83
+15.5
1
@BOIS
BOISL 60-82
−5.5
4
vsSJSU
SJSUL 91-94
+37.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 81-89
+16.5
10
@NEV
NEVL 69-94
+20.5
15
vsUNLV
UNLVL 51-52
−45.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUL 60-83
−0.5
22
@AF
AFL 69-72
−1.5
1
vsBOIS
BOISL 61-66
−18.5
4
vsWYO
WYOW 62-58
−18.5
8
@SJSU
SJSUL 68-92
+16.5
12
vsNEV
NEVL 71-86
+18.5
over 18under 14avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CA Baptist75–87
2 days since their last game.
Fresno St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.