Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -35.5✓ PV covered by 17.5
MIZ -35.5✓ PV covered by 17.5Closing total166.5Under by 2.5
 PV | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 4-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PV 64–98 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PV | 27 | 46 | 73 |
| MIZ | 49 | 42 | 91 |
1st half: PV 27, MIZ 49 (MIZ by 22). The model had MIZ by 20.0 and a total of 75.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| PV | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-66 38% | Field goals | 32-62 52% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 14-16 88% | Free throws | 17-25 68% |
| 28 6 off | Rebounds | 49 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| PV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Wells F | 38 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| Tai'Reon Joseph G | 36 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7-19 | 3-9 |
| Lance Williams G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-5 |
| Dontae Horne G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Keeshawn Mason F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcel Bryant F | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Ryan Bolton Jr. C | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jannoy Thomas G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Dunning F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Mitchell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Doug Young, Hassane Diallo, Seryee Lewis, Isaiah Foster, Joey Madimba
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 27 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 25 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 19 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Jevon Porter F | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Stone G | 28 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Jacob Crews G | 24 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Luke Northweather F | 16 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Rowe, Trent Burns, Trent Pierce, Annor Boateng
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -35.5
ModelMIZ -33.3
Model edgePV +2.2
W PV covered
Total
Market166.5
Model161.6
Model edgeUnder 4.9
W Under
Projected score
PV 64.1 · MIZ 97.5
PV 73 · MIZ 91
Win probability
MIZ 100%
1st half
Spread
MIZ -20.0
MIZ -22.0
Total
75.7
76 points
Projected score
PV 27.8 · MIZ 47.8
PV 27 · MIZ 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -36.5
1 → PV
CloseMIZ -35.5
1 pt toward PV
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -36.5 · closed MIZ -35.5 · moved 1 toward PVmodel MIZ -33.5
model MIZ -33.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PVlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| MIZlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Prairie View
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
WICH
WICHL 62-105
−22.5
12
@
OKST
OKSTL 67-94
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@WICH
WICHL 62-105
+10.5
12
@OKST
OKSTL 67-94
−7.5
over 1under 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vs
SEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vs
VMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vs
MINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
over 2under 2avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Prairie View
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma St67–94
- L@ Wichita St62–105
5 days since their last game.
Missouri
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Minnesota83–60
- Wvs VMI106–68
- Wvs SE Missouri89–84
- W@ Howard88–67
5 days since their last game.