Prather Coliseum · at N'Western St
Closing line
SOU -3.5✓ NWST covered by 1.5
SOU -3.5✓ NWST covered by 1.5Closing total144.5Over by 3.5
| SOU | This season | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 0-5 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 4-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SOU 79–79 NWST · ✓ SOU (51%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 42 | 33 | 75 |
| NWST | 28 | 45 | 73 |
1st half: SOU 42, NWST 28 (SOU by 14). The model had SOU by 0.3 and a total of 74.2 (actual 70).
Team stats
| SOU | NWST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-61 48% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 10-19 53% | 3-pointers | 11-23 48% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 33 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jacobs G | 36 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 9-22 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Hardy G | 31 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Amboree G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Keith Lamar F | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. F | 18 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fazl Oshodi G | 23 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| Malek Abdelgowad F | 17 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| AJ Barnes F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Magee G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Joe Manning G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: DaMariee Jones, Femi Olaniyan, Trey Shephard, Rondae Hill, Puoch Dobuol, Lionel Bell, Jayce Depron, Andre Nunley
| NWST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas G | 33 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-7 |
| Landyn Jumawan G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Willie Williams F | 22 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
| Chip Brunt G | 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kordrick Turner F | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Mubiru G | 25 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Izzy Miles G | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Justin Redmond G | 18 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-12 | 2-7 |
| Moustapha Loum F | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Omar Adegbola G | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| J.C. Riley Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seth Ned, CJ Larry, Quentin Bolton
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSOU -3.5
ModelSOU -0.2
Model edgeNWST +3.3
W NWST covered
Total
Market144.5
Model158.5
Model edgeOver 14.0
W Over
Projected score
SOU 79.4 · NWST 79.2
SOU 75 · NWST 73
Win probability
SOU 51%
1st half
Spread
SOU -0.3
SOU -14.0
Total
74.2
70 points
Projected score
SOU 37.2 · NWST 37
SOU 42 · NWST 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSOU -1.5
2 → SOU
CloseSOU -3.5
2 pts toward SOU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 4
Close144.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SOU -180 · NWST +150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SOU -1.5 · closed SOU -3.5 · moved 2 toward SOUmodel SOU -0
model SOU -0
Opened 148.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 4 downmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOUlast 4 | 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
| NWSTlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 4-1 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +23 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ARK
ARKL 77-109
−5.5
5
@
MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+6.5
18
@
WASH
WASHL 93-99
+17.5
21
@
SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
+35.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+26.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+34.5
21
@SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−4.5
over 3under 1avg +23 ptslonger = bigger margin
N'Western St
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +9.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
−8.5
6
@
UNT
UNTL 53-80
−15.5
11
@
UNA
UNAL 83-87
+2.5
18
@
SF
SFL 64-84
−3.5
21
@
GCU
GCUL 72-85
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
+12.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−4.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+27.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
+4.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+9.5
over 4under 1avg +9.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San José St66–80
- L@ Washington93–99
- L@ Marquette82–100
- L@ Arkansas77–109
A week or more of rest.
N'Western St
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Grand Canyon72–85
- L@ San Francisco64–84
- L@ North Alabama83–87
- L@ North Texas53–80
- L@ Texas A&M68–98
A week or more of rest.