Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern
Closing line
NU -23.5✓ NU covered by 23.5
NU -23.5✓ NU covered by 23.5Closing total151.5Over by 21.5
 CLE | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLE 63–83 NU · ✓ NU (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 28 | 35 | 63 |
| NU | 53 | 57 | 110 |
1st half: CLE 28, NU 53 (NU by 25). The model had NU by 11.8 and a total of 68.1 (actual 81).
Team stats
| CLE | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 41-68 60% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 11-21 52% |
| 5-13 38% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 26 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 31 |
Players
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Harris F | 26 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5-9 | 3-6 |
| Dayan Nessah G | 25 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Preist Ryan F | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Tre Beard G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Foster Wonders G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 17 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Chevalier Emery G | 16 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Kamari Jones G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Ivan Spirov F | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Manny Hill G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| David Giddens G | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Lucas Burton F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kevo St. Hilaire F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Waqo Tessema
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrinten Page F | 24 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 7-8 | 1-1 |
| Nick Martinelli F | 23 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 9-14 | 3-3 |
| Jayden Reid G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 20 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Tre Singleton F | 17 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Mullins G | 25 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jake West G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| K.J. Windham G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Max Green G | 9 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 4-6 |
| Phoenix Gill G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Gus Hurlburt F | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Bennerman, Blake Smith
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNU -23.5
ModelNU -19.7
Model edgeCLE +3.8
L NU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model145.4
Model edgeUnder 6.1
L Over
Projected score
CLE 62.9 · NU 82.5
CLE 63 · NU 110
Win probability
NU 96%
1st half
Spread
NU -11.8
NU -25.0
Total
68.1
81 points
Projected score
CLE 28.2 · NU 39.9
CLE 28 · NU 53
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -19.5
4 → NU
CloseNU -23.5
4 pts toward NU
Total
Open147.5
▲ 4
Close151.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CLE +2500 · NU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -19.5 · closed NU -23.5 · moved 4 toward NUmodel NU -19.5
model NU -19.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 4 upmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLElast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| NUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cleveland St
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +27.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LUC | L 88-91 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
over 1under 0avg +27.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −16 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vs
BU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
over 0under 2avg −16 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cleveland St
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Loyola Chicago88–91
A week or more of rest.
Northwestern
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Boston U76–52
- Wvs Mercyhurst70–47
3 days since their last game.