Carver Arena · at Bradley
Closing line
BRAD -21.5✓ UML covered by 11.5
BRAD -21.5✓ UML covered by 11.5Closing total149.5Over by 14.5
 UML | This season | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 1-3 |
| 0-4 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UML 68–84 BRAD · ✓ BRAD (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UML | 43 | 34 | 77 |
| BRAD | 38 | 49 | 87 |
1st half: UML 43, BRAD 38 (UML by 5). The model had BRAD by 9.8 and a total of 71.1 (actual 81).
Team stats
| UML | BRAD | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-52 48% | Field goals | 29-56 52% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 10-20 50% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Spencer G | 39 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Darrel Yepdo G | 32 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Austin Green F | 31 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 23 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Jared Frey G | 20 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JJ Massaquoi F | 22 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Victor Okojie F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Walter, Kris Johnson, Keenan Bey, Jerrell Roberson II
| BRAD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Huibregtse G | 35 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| AJ Smith F | 33 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 7-9 | 4-4 |
| Jaquan Johnson G | 27 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Ahmet Jonovic C | 25 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Timoty van der Knaap G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Demarion Burch G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Montana Wheeler G | 20 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Corey Thomas F | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Kai Yu C | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Rugaard, Dietrich Richardson, Matthew Zobrist, Jackson Seastrunk, Handy Toussaint III, Gustavo Guimares
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBRAD -21.5
ModelBRAD -16.5
Model edgeUML +5.0
W UML covered
Total
Market149.5
Model151.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
UML 67.6 · BRAD 84.1
UML 77 · BRAD 87
Win probability
BRAD 93%
1st half
Spread
BRAD -9.8
UML -5.0
Total
71.1
81 points
Projected score
UML 30.6 · BRAD 40.5
UML 43 · BRAD 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBRAD -19.5
2 → BRAD
CloseBRAD -21.5
2 pts toward BRAD
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UML +2000 · BRAD -7500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BRAD -19.5 · closed BRAD -21.5 · moved 2 toward BRADmodel BRAD -16.5
model BRAD -16.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMLlast 4 | 0-4 0% | 0-4 0% | 3-1 75% |
| BRADlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMass Lowell
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −11.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vs
NHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@
COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@
WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −11.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
over 3under 1avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bradley
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SBU
SBUL 63-69
−4.5
8
vs
CMU
CMUW 85-54
+21.5
12
vs
UTM
UTML 67-78
−26.5
15
@
SF
SFL 64-75
−1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSBU
SBUL 63-69
−7.5
8
vsCMU
CMUW 85-54
−8.5
12
vsUTM
UTML 67-78
+0.5
15
@SF
SFL 64-75
−7.5
over 1under 3avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMass Lowell
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wake Forest75–109
- L@ Columbia72–86
- Lvs New Haven67–73
- L@ UConn47–110
3 days since their last game.
Bradley
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Francisco64–75
- Lvs UT Martin67–78
- Wvs C Michigan85–54
- Lvs St Bonaventure63–69
4 days since their last game.