Benchmark International Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
FSU -1.5✓ TA&M covered by 37.5
FSU -1.5✓ TA&M covered by 37.5Closing total174.5Under by 20.5
 TA&M | This season | FSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 5-1 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TA&M 82–82 FSU · ✓ FSU (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 52 | 43 | 95 |
| FSU | 24 | 35 | 59 |
1st half: TA&M 52, FSU 24 (TA&M by 28). The model had TA&M by 0.1 and a total of 77.0 (actual 76).
Team stats
| TA&M | FSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-68 44% | Field goals | 21-73 29% |
| 15-34 44% | 3-pointers | 9-41 22% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 8-17 47% |
| 60 22 off | Rebounds | 40 20 off |
| 20 | Assists | 13 |
| 13 | Steals | 11 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 18 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Dominguez G | 27 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 7-13 | 7-12 |
| Rashaun Agee F | 26 | 17 | 17 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-2 |
| Jacari Lane G | 23 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Marcus Hill G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Mackenzie Mgbako F | 18 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pop Isaacs G | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 3-6 |
| Zach Clemence F | 19 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ali Dibba G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Josh Holloway G | 13 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Federiko Federiko F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris McDermott, Jeremiah Green, Noah Shelby, Rylan Griffen
| FSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert McCray V G | 28 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Lajae Jones G | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-6 |
| Kobe MaGee G | 25 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 7-15 | 4-10 |
| Chauncey Wiggins F | 24 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-14 | 1-6 |
| Alex Steen F | 16 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Miles G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-6 |
| Martin Somerville G | 22 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Shah Muhammad F | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| AJ Swinton F | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Thomas Bassong F | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Alier Maluk F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Crawford, Max Garcia-Plata, Xavier Osceola
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFSU -1.5
ModelFSU -0.1
Model edgeTA&M +1.4
W TA&M covered
Total
Market174.5
Model164.6
Model edgeUnder 9.9
W Under
Projected score
TA&M 82.3 · FSU 82.3
TA&M 95 · FSU 59
Win probability
FSU 50%
1st half
Spread
TA&M -0.1
TA&M -28.0
Total
77.0
76 points
Projected score
TA&M 38.6 · FSU 38.5
TA&M 52 · FSU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFSU -1.5
no move
CloseFSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open167.5
▲ 7
Close174.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
TA&M +100 · FSU -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel FSU -0
model FSU -0
Opened 167.5 · closed 174.5 · moved 7 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&Mlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
| FSUlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 1-5 17% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas A&M
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
over 5under 2avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Florida St
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+4.5
7
vs
ALST
ALSTW 101-64
+12.5
11
@
FLA
FLAL 76-78
+15.5
18
vs
UTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vs
GASO
GASOW 98-72
+7.5
25
vs
CSUB
CSUBW 89-59
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsALCN
ALCNW 108-76
+27.5
7
vsALST
ALSTW 101-64
−1.5
11
@FLA
FLAL 76-78
−26.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 87-73
−5.5
21
vsGASO
GASOW 98-72
−5.5
25
vsCSUB
CSUBW 89-59
−11.5
over 1under 5avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas A&M
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Miss Valley St120–84
- Wvs Manhattan109–68
- Wvs Montana86–81
- Lvs UCF74–86
- L@ Oklahoma St63–87
3 days since their last game.
Florida St
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bakersfield89–59
- Wvs GA Southern98–72
- Wvs UT Martin87–73
- L@ Florida76–78
- Wvs Alabama St101–64
3 days since their last game.