Show Me Center · at SE Missouri
Closing line
SEMO -3.5✓ LIP covered by 14.5
Closing total153.5Over by 11.5
| This season | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 1-5 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 75–76 SEMO · ✗ SEMO (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 38 | 50 | 88 |
| SEMO | 30 | 47 | 77 |
1st half: LIP 38, SEMO 30 (LIP by 8). The model had SEMO by 0.3 and a total of 70.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| LIP | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 25-61 41% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 4-18 22% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 32 6 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 20 | Assists | 8 |
| 8 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 22 | Fouls | 23 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 38 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 7-12 | 1-3 |
| Grant Asman F | 33 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Charlie Williams C | 18 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Duncan G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-5 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Cole Middleton F | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Logan Suber, Ross Candelino, Luke Carter, Miles White
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Stacker G | 38 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 6-13 | 3-8 |
| BJ Ward G | 31 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-2 |
| Brendan Terry F | 24 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 23 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-5 |
| Landren Blocker G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marqueas Bell G | 25 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| David Idada C | 13 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| PJ Farmer G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jay Reynolds, Trace Sadler, Saxton Hoepker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEMO -3.5
ModelSEMO -0.8
Model edgeLIP +2.7
W LIP covered
Total
Market153.5
Model151.5
Model edgeUnder 2.0
L Over
Projected score
LIP 75.4 · SEMO 76.1
LIP 88 · SEMO 77
Win probability
SEMO 53%
1st half
Spread
SEMO -0.3
LIP -8.0
Total
70.9
68 points
Projected score
LIP 35.3 · SEMO 35.6
LIP 38 · SEMO 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -1.5
5 → SEMO
CloseSEMO -3.5
5 pts toward SEMO
Total
Open148.5
▲ 5
Close153.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
LIP +130 · SEMO -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -1.5 · closed SEMO -3.5 · moved 5 toward SEMOmodel SEMO -1
model SEMO -1
Opened 148.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 5 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% | |
| 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LIP 1–0 SEMOLIP leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LIP 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | SEMO 60 @ LIP 78 | LIP -16.5 | LIP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
VAN
L 61-105
−17.5
9
@
MER
L 77-92
−11.5
11
@
UNCA
L 64-69
+1.5
19
@
BEL
L 68-75
+5.5
22
vs
WCU
W 83-62
+15.5
26
@
MRSH
W 90-67
+30.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
VAN
L 61-105
+11.5
9
@
MER
L 77-92
+11.5
11
@
UNCA
L 64-69
−25.5
19
@
BEL
L 68-75
−15.5
22
vs
WCU
W 83-62
−6.5
26
@
MRSH
W 90-67
−0.5
over 2under 4avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
SE Missouri
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SLU
L 67-92
−5.5
7
@
MIZ
L 84-89
+20.5
15
vs
STMN
L 72-84
−9.5
18
@
IOWA
L 70-99
−5.5
25
vs
CP
W 84-68
+14.5
26
@
NAU
L 72-79
−4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
SLU
L 67-92
+5.5
7
@
MIZ
L 84-89
+15.5
15
vs
STMN
L 72-84
+3.5
18
@
IOWA
L 70-99
+21.5
25
vs
CP
W 84-68
−18.5
26
@
NAU
L 72-79
−2.5
over 4under 2avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Marshall90–67
- Wvs W Carolina83–62
- L@ Belmont68–75
- L@ UNC Asheville64–69
- L@ Mercer77–92
3 days since their last game.
SE Missouri
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Arizona72–79
- Wvs Cal Poly84–68
- L@ Iowa70–99
- Lvs St Thomas72–84
- L@ Missouri84–89
3 days since their last game.