Matthew Knight Arena · at Oregon
Closing line
ORE -19.5✓ ORE covered by 5.5
ORE -19.5✓ ORE covered by 5.5Closing total154.5Over by 8.5
 PORT | This season | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 5-5 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 1-9 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PORT 69–87 ORE · ✓ ORE (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 41 | 28 | 69 |
| ORE | 51 | 43 | 94 |
1st half: PORT 41, ORE 51 (ORE by 10). The model had ORE by 10.6 and a total of 72.7 (actual 92).
Team stats
| PORT | ORE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 31-64 48% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 13-33 39% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 23 |
| 5 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell G | 36 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 8-17 | 2-6 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Cameron Williams F | 28 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| James O'Donnell F | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Timo George F | 19 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 18 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kelson Gebbers G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Riley Parker, NaVaughn Long, Carlin Briggs, Preston Lee, Marchelo Moreira
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 31 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Jackson Shelstad G | 31 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Nate Bittle C | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 6-8 | 3-5 |
| Sean Stewart F | 17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dez Lindsay F | 21 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Wei Lin G | 21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Ege Demir C | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Carter G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Miles Stewart, Luke Johnson, Efe Vatan, JJ Frakes, Rian Gonzales, Devon Pryor
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -17.5
2 → ORE
CloseORE -19.5
2 pts toward ORE
Total
Open155.5
▼ 1
Close154.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PORT +1200 · ORE -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -17.5 · closed ORE -19.5 · moved 2 toward OREmodel ORE -18
model ORE -18
Opened 155.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ORE -19.5 | ORE -17.8 | PORT +1.7 | L ORE covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 155.3 | Over 0.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PORT 68.7 · ORE 86.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ORE -10.6 | ORE -10.0 |
| 1H total | 72.7 | 92 |
| 1H projected score | PORT 31 · ORE 41.6 | PORT 41 · ORE 51 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORTlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| ORE | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PORT 0–3 OREORE leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · ORE has won the last 3 meetings · PORT 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024-25 | PORT 70 @ ORE 80 | ORE -26.5 | PORT W |
| Dec 17, 2022-23 | PORT 56 @ ORE 78 | ORE -9.5 | ORE W |
| Dec 15, 2021-22 | PORT 71 @ ORE 96 | ORE -17 | ORE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs CSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs LBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ STAN | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs KENT | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
−2.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+17.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
+9.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+5.5
over 5under 4avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oregon
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
1-9
10% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vsUCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
covered 1didn’t cover 9avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
over 6under 4avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kent State88–78
- L@ Stanford72–94
- Wvs Long Beach St93–73
- Lvs St Thomas66–76
- Lvs N Colorado80–86
3 days since their last game.
Oregon
5-5 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Davis104–62
- L@ UCLA63–74
- Lvs USC77–82
- Lvs Creighton66–76
- Lvs San Diego St80–97
4 days since their last game.