Chiles Center · at Portland
Closing line
STMN -5.5✓ STMN covered by 4.5
STMN -5.5✓ STMN covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Under by 13.5
| STMN | This season | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 3-2 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STMN 80–77 PORT · ✓ STMN (59%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMN | 36 | 40 | 76 |
| PORT | 34 | 32 | 66 |
1st half: STMN 36, PORT 34 (STMN by 2). The model had STMN by 1.7 and a total of 73.6 (actual 70).
Team stats
| STMN | PORT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 28-59 47% |
| 12-38 32% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 4-7 57% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 18 | Assists | 21 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| STMN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Minessale G | 34 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 7-17 | 2-6 |
| Nick Janowski G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-9 |
| Ben Oosterbaan F | 29 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Carter Bjerke F | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Ryan Dufault G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu F | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Ryan Lafferty G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Coleman F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Tibbits G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Austin Herro, Jack Tauer, Luka Momcilovic, Tim Franks, Kyle Counts, Tommy Humphries Jr., Adam Tauer
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell G | 40 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Cameron Williams F | 33 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 29 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| James O'Donnell F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mikah Ballew G | 32 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Timo George F | 21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kelson Gebbers G | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Marchelo Moreira, Dante Censori-Hercules, Riley Parker, NaVaughn Long, Carlin Briggs, Preston Lee
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTMN -5.5
ModelSTMN -2.6
Model edgePORT +2.9
L STMN covered
Total
Market155.5
Model157.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
STMN 79.9 · PORT 77.3
STMN 76 · PORT 66
Win probability
STMN 59%
1st half
Spread
STMN -1.7
STMN -2.0
Total
73.6
70 points
Projected score
STMN 37.7 · PORT 35.9
STMN 36 · PORT 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTMN -4.5
1 → STMN
CloseSTMN -5.5
1 pt toward STMN
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
STMN -225 · PORT +190
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STMN -4.5 · closed STMN -5.5 · moved 1 toward STMNmodel STMN -2.5
model STMN -2.5
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STMNlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% |
| PORTlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Thomas
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SMC
SMCL 58-84
−12.5
8
vs
ARMY
ARMYW 83-76
−11.5
10
@
WSU
WSUL 71-81
−7.5
13
vs
GB
GBW 80-61
+5.5
15
@
SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+9.5
21
vs
UNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−3.5
22
vs
CSUF
CSUFL 80-88
−19.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMC
SMCL 58-84
+0.5
8
vsARMY
ARMYW 83-76
+7.5
10
@WSU
WSUL 71-81
−5.5
13
vsGB
GBW 80-61
−9.5
15
@SEMO
SEMOW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsUNCO
UNCOW 73-72
−12.5
22
vsCSUF
CSUFL 80-88
+5.5
over 4under 3avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Portland
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vs
UCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@
WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
over 2under 3avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Thomas
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fullerton80–88
- Wvs N Colorado73–72
- W@ SE Missouri84–72
- Wvs Green Bay80–61
- L@ Washington St71–81
1 day since their last game.
Portland
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Colorado80–86
- Wvs Fullerton103–85
- L@ Wyoming56–93
- Wvs UC Davis67–63
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff83–74
1 day since their last game.