Ocean Center · Neutral site
Closing line
PAC -4.5✓ PAC covered by 23.5
PAC -4.5✓ PAC covered by 23.5Closing total145.5Under by 1.5
 STBK | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 2-2 |
| 3-0 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STBK 73–75 PAC · ✓ PAC (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBK | 20 | 38 | 58 |
| PAC | 35 | 51 | 86 |
1st half: STBK 20, PAC 35 (PAC by 15). The model had PAC by 0.9 and a total of 69.1 (actual 55).
Team stats
| STBK | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 29-43 67% |
| 9-32 28% | 3-pointers | 8-13 62% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 21 7 off | Rebounds | 34 3 off |
| 9 | Assists | 9 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 8 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| STBK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Brown III G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Collin O'Connor G | 25 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Erik Pratt G | 25 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-6 |
| Richard Goods F | 24 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Quin Gorman F | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tomas Valentiny F | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Oleg Kojenets F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jonah Butler G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Ethan Simmon G | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Toby Onyekonwu G | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Leon Nahar F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Liam Dagostino, Andrew Okafor, Jake Harbatkin
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Rochelin G | 28 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Elias Ralph F | 27 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 24 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Jack F | 24 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Clayton G | 23 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6-6 | 3-3 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 14 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Manyuon G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Carlsheon Young G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Augustas Brazdeikis, Dominic Capriotti, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -4.5
ModelPAC -1.7
Model edgeSTBK +2.8
L PAC covered
Total
Market145.5
Model147.5
Model edgeOver 2.0
L Under
Projected score
STBK 72.9 · PAC 74.6
STBK 58 · PAC 86
Win probability
PAC 56%
1st half
Spread
PAC -0.9
PAC -15.0
Total
69.1
55 points
Projected score
STBK 34.1 · PAC 35
STBK 20 · PAC 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -3.5
1 → PAC
ClosePAC -4.5
1 pt toward PAC
Total
Open150.5
▼ 5
Close145.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
STBK +170 · PAC -200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -3.5 · closed PAC -4.5 · moved 1 toward PACmodel PAC -1.5
model PAC -1.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 5 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STBKlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% |
| PAClast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stony Brook
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +9.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
ME
MEW 71-60
+7.5
15
@
YALE
YALEL 79-86
+13.5
20
vs
BRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
−0.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+14.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+13.5
over 2under 1avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@
CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@
FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
over 1under 3avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stony Brook
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Brown80–70
- L@ Yale79–86
- Wvs Maine71–60
4 days since their last game.
Pacific
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FAU59–82
- W@ Fullerton85–73
- Wvs Long Beach St69–66
- L@ Nevada77–78
4 days since their last game.